Derby County vs Wrexham: match statistics
Derby County vs Wrexham: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County played against Wrexham in Championship (England). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Pride Park Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Derby County has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Wrexham has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.75. Wrexham scores 1.13 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Derby County's games and 63% of Wrexham's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 50%, compared with league averages of 69% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Derby County has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.24 per game. Derby County takes 12.3 shots per game, while Wrexham takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Wrexham leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Wrexham, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 69% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wrexham have the edge over their last five matches, earning 8 points compared with Derby County’s 4. The hosts are still without a home win, losing 3 of their 4 matches and conceding an average of 2 goals per game; the visitors have lost only 1 of their 4 away fixtures. Derby create chances at home worth an average xG of 1.64, higher than Wrexham’s away xG of 1.17, but score just 0.75 goals per game with a 6% shot conversion rate. Wrexham average 1 goal away from home, with a 10% conversion rate, and Derby’s defensive issues strengthen the case for the visitors. However, Wrexham’s two draws in four away games and Derby’s failure to score in half of their home matches mean a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Derby have seen both teams score in 100% of their home matches, but this scenario occurred in only 25% of Wrexham’s away games. The visitors failed to score in 50% of their away fixtures, a significant argument for at least one team potentially finishing the match without a goal. On the other hand, Derby average 1.25 goals at home, while Wrexham concede 1.75 goals away, making a home goal a realistic prospect. In the teams’ last five matches, both sides scored in 40% of games, and Derby averaged just 0.8 goals over that period. Therefore, despite the strong signal from Derby’s home results, it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: none of Derby’s home matches and only 25% of Wrexham’s away matches went over this line. I expect around 2.55 goals, as Derby average 1.25 goals scored at home and Wrexham 1.00 away, although the visitors concede an average of 1.75 goals. The xG data also point to a moderate number of chances: the hosts average 1.32 at home, while the visitors average 1.17 away. Derby’s last five matches have averaged 2.2 goals, compared with 2.8 in Wrexham’s games; this supports Under 3.5, while still allowing for three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Wrexham led at the break in 2 of the 4 matches analyzed, while Derby went into half-time trailing in 2 of 4, pointing to an early lead for the visitors. The balance of play could shift after the break: Derby average 0.75 goals in second halves, while Wrexham concede 1.25. The hosts have not lost the second half in any of their 4 matches, whereas the visitors have lost it twice. Since both teams drew 2 of their 4 matches, the most likely single scenario is Wrexham leading at half-time and the match ending in a draw (HT/FT: 1/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Wrexham is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Derby County · 1.6 pts / game - Wrexham
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wrexham is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Derby County · 1.13 goals / game - Wrexham
Wrexham is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Derby County · 1.5 goals / game - Wrexham
Derby County scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Wrexham keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
Wrexham scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Wrexham
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wrexham is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Derby County · 1.38 pts / game - Wrexham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Wrexham - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Wrexham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.63 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 19% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Derby County's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Wrexham. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Wrexham?
The Championship match finished Derby County 1:1 Wrexham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby County and Wrexham?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Derby County won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Wrexham?
Derby County score 0.88 goals per game on average and Wrexham 1.13. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Derby County's matches and 63% of Wrexham's.
What form are Derby County and Wrexham in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Wrexham 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Wrexham?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.