Derry City vs Waterford: match statistics
Derry City is showing decidedly better form, earning 2 points per game in their last five matches, while Waterford achieves only 1.2 points. The hosts have won three of their last five games, and their average xG in home matches is 2.11, indicating strong offensive potential. Waterford has dramatic away statistics – 100% losses, 0% goals scored, and a zero shot conversion rate on the road. Furthermore, the visitors have not earned a single point in away matches this season, making them a very weak opponent on rival turf. Although Derry City has not yet kept a clean sheet at home, their qualitative advantage and form suggest a sure victory for the hosts. The xG statistics (2.11 vs 1.96) and scoring efficiency speak unequivocally in favor of Derry City.
Derry City vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derry City played against Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Derry City has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Waterford has 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 0.67 points per game.
Scoring records
Derry City scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.33. Waterford scores 0.33 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Derry City's games and 33% of Waterford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 0%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 23% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Derry City has the higher season xG average, 2.11 to 1.49 per game. Derry City takes 17.0 shots per game, while Waterford takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Derry City leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Waterford leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derry City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Waterford, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier Division games average 1.92 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 23% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Derry City is showing decidedly better form, earning 2 points per game in their last five matches, while Waterford achieves only 1.2 points. The hosts have won three of their last five games, and their average xG in home matches is 2.11, indicating strong offensive potential. Waterford has dramatic away statistics – 100% losses, 0% goals scored, and a zero shot conversion rate on the road. Furthermore, the visitors have not earned a single point in away matches this season, making them a very weak opponent on rival turf. Although Derry City has not yet kept a clean sheet at home, their qualitative advantage and form suggest a sure victory for the hosts. The xG statistics (2.11 vs 1.96) and scoring efficiency speak unequivocally in favor of Derry City.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derry City | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Derry City is 99% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / game - Derry City · 0.67 pts / game - Waterford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derry City is 303% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Derry City · 0.33 goals / game - Waterford
Waterford is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Derry City · 1 goals / game - Waterford
Derry City scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Waterford scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 meczów), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derry City
Over / Under - Waterford
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derry City - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Waterford - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derry City
Waterford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Derry City | Liga | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.67 | 1.92 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Derry City's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Waterford. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Derry City vs Waterford?
The Premier Division match finished Derry City 4:2 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derry City and Waterford?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Derry City won 2, Waterford won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derry City vs Waterford?
Derry City score 1.33 goals per game on average and Waterford 0.33. The Premier Division average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Derry City's matches and 33% of Waterford's.
What form are Derry City and Waterford in?
Over the last 5 games Derry City have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Waterford 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derry City vs Waterford?
The statistical background for Derry City vs Waterford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.