Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco: match statistics
Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Desenzano Calvina played against Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on September 17, 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Desenzano Calvina has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.25 points per game. Lecco has 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Desenzano Calvina scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 0.75. Lecco scores 0.25 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Desenzano Calvina's games and 0% of Lecco's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 0%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lecco has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.51 per game. Desenzano Calvina takes 10.8 shots per game, while Lecco takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Desenzano Calvina leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Lecco leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Desenzano Calvina's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Lecco, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams have a clear problem in front of goal: Desenzano Calvina failed to score in their only home match, while Lecco have drawn a blank in both away games and in their last five matches overall. The hosts are unbeaten at home thanks to a 0:0 draw and a clean sheet, whereas the visitors have lost both away matches, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. Lecco do create slightly more in the final third, averaging 11 shots and 5 on target compared with Desenzano’s 8 and 2, while their xG stands at 1.37 versus 1.40 for the hosts. On the other hand, Desenzano allow opponents a high home xG of 2.70, although this has not yet translated into goals conceded. With both teams averaging 0 goals in these conditions, a low-scoring draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Lecco have failed to score both in the season data and in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.0 goals. The visitors recorded BTTS at 0% in their last five games, while Desenzano Calvina stand at just 20%, clearly below the league average of 47%. The hosts are also struggling for efficiency, scoring an average of 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches, although their xG of 1.42 suggests some potential for a single goal. Lecco create chances worth just 1.06 xG on average, while Desenzano have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches so far. The more likely scenario is therefore that at least one side—most notably the visitors—will fail to find the back of the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5, as neither team has exceeded this line in 100% of their league matches so far. Desenzano Calvina have averaged just 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in their last 5 matches, while Lecco have scored 0.0 goals per game and conceded only 1.0. None of the hosts’ last five appearances produced more than 2.5 goals, while this occurred in just 20% of the visitors’ matches. The creative potential is higher, with average xG of 1.42 for the hosts and 1.06 for the visitors, but the very poor finishing of both attacks limits the projection to 2.05 goals. The 3.5 line provides a clear margin even if finishing improves, making the under the strongest value angle here.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a very cautious first half: both teams were level at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored before the break. In this sequence, Desenzano have averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, while Lecco have averaged no goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per match. A draw at full-time is also supported by the hosts’ form, with draws in 60% of their last five matches, and by the visitors’ 40% draw rate. After the break, Lecco still average no goals scored, while Desenzano record 0.4 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded, making the HT/FT draw/draw outcome the most likely, although it only narrowly leads the draw/Desenzano win scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Desenzano Calvina | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.04 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Desenzano Calvina is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / game - Desenzano Calvina · 1 pts / game - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Desenzano Calvina is 200% better for: goals scored per game.
0.75 goals / game - Desenzano Calvina · 0.25 goals / game - Lecco
Lecco is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Desenzano Calvina · 0.5 goals / game - Lecco
Desenzano Calvina scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 games), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).
Lecco scores in 25% of games (1 of 4 games), while Desenzano Calvina keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Desenzano Calvina
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / game - Desenzano Calvina · 1.5 pts / game - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Desenzano Calvina - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Desenzano Calvina
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Desenzano Calvina | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 2.08 | ▼ 0.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 43% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 55% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Desenzano CalvinaGoalFilippo Liberati
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Desenzano Calvina 1:3 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?
Desenzano Calvina score 0.75 goals per game on average and Lecco 0.25. The Serie C Group A average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Desenzano Calvina's matches and 0% of Lecco's.
What form are Desenzano Calvina and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Desenzano Calvina have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Lecco 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.