Difaâ El Jadida vs UTS Rabat: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match with a draw being the most likely scenario. Difaâ El Jadida displays poor home form with only a 17% win rate and 67% of their matches at home ending without a goal scored, which significantly reduces their chances of victory. UTS Rabat have not won a single away match this season, but a high 60% of their games have ended in a draw, confirming their tendency to share the points. The recent form of both teams is poor – the hosts have averaged 2 points per match in their last five games, while the visitors have managed only 0.4 points on average. Considering both teams' low efficiency, similar xG values, and the visitors' history of draws, the most probable outcome is a points split, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to playing at home.
Difaâ El Jadida vs UTS Rabat: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Difaâ El Jadida play UTS Rabat in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Difaâ El Jadida: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. UTS Rabat: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Difaâ El Jadida scores 1.00 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. UTS Rabat scores 1.07 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Difaâ El Jadida 57%, UTS Rabat 63%. Over 2.5: Difaâ El Jadida 47%, UTS Rabat 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
UTS Rabat has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.08. Difaâ El Jadida: 8.1 shots per match, UTS Rabat: 9.5.
Match halves
Difaâ El Jadida: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.57. UTS Rabat: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Difaâ El Jadida: 76-90+ (10 goals). UTS Rabat: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match with a draw being the most likely scenario. Difaâ El Jadida displays poor home form with only a 17% win rate and 67% of their matches at home ending without a goal scored, which significantly reduces their chances of victory. UTS Rabat have not won a single away match this season, but a high 60% of their games have ended in a draw, confirming their tendency to share the points. The recent form of both teams is poor – the hosts have averaged 2 points per match in their last five games, while the visitors have managed only 0.4 points on average. Considering both teams' low efficiency, similar xG values, and the visitors' history of draws, the most probable outcome is a points split, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to playing at home.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Difaâ El Jadida | UTS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Difaâ El Jadida is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Difaâ El Jadida · 1.4 pts / match - UTS Rabat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UTS Rabat is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Difaâ El Jadida · 1.07 goals / match - UTS Rabat
Difaâ El Jadida is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Difaâ El Jadida · 1.33 goals / match - UTS Rabat
Difaâ El Jadida scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while UTS Rabat keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
UTS Rabat scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Difaâ El Jadida keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Difaâ El Jadida
Over / Under — UTS Rabat
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Difaâ El Jadida is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Difaâ El Jadida · 1.17 pts / match - UTS Rabat
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Difaâ El Jadida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
UTS Rabat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Difaâ El Jadida
UTS Rabat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Difaâ El Jadida | Liga | UTS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.13 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Difaâ El Jadida 1 - 0 - 0 UTS Rabat. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Difaâ El Jadida vs UTS Rabat?
The Botola Pro match finished Difaâ El Jadida 1:0 UTS Rabat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Difaâ El Jadida vs UTS Rabat?
Difaâ El Jadida score 1.00 goals per game on average and UTS Rabat 1.07. The Botola Pro average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Difaâ El Jadida's matches and 63% of UTS Rabat's.
What form are Difaâ El Jadida and UTS Rabat in?
Over the last 5 games Difaâ El Jadida have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and UTS Rabat 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Difaâ El Jadida vs UTS Rabat?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Difaâ El Jadida vs UTS Rabat: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.