Dinamo Tirana vs Vora: match statistics

Vora remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Dinamo Tirana have suffered one defeat over the same period. The visitors have scored 13 goals in five games, one more than the hosts, while their average of 2.2 points per match exceeds Dinamo’s 2.0. However, Dinamo have been clearly more solid defensively over this short-term trend, conceding just 3 goals compared with Vora’s 6, which increases the likelihood of a closely contested match. Despite home advantage, the lack of complete season data limits the extent of the hosts’ edge, while Vora’s consistency and unbeaten run slightly favor an away win. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as Vora have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches, compared with one draw for Dinamo.

The signal for both teams to score is driven primarily by current form: Dinamo Tirana have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, while Vora have scored 13, averaging 2.4 and 2.6 goals per game respectively. Vora recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five appearances, compared with 40% for Dinamo, providing a moderately positive outlook for this market. However, the hosts conceded just 0.6 goals per game during this period, so a scenario in which Vora fail to score remains a realistic threat. On the other hand, Dinamo allowed opponents an average xG of 1.60, while Vora produced an xG of 1.21, supporting the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The BTTS - Yes pick is marginally stronger because both teams are highly effective in attack, although the advantage over BTTS - No is not substantial.

The data from the last 5 matches points to very strong finishing from both teams: Dinamo Tirana averaged 2.4 goals, while Vora averaged 2.6. At the same time, the hosts conceded just 0.6 goals per match, whereas the visitors allowed their opponents 1.2 goals, suggesting a greater likelihood of Dinamo finding the net. The average xG figures are 1.53 for Dinamo and 1.21 for Vora, while both teams recorded matches with at least 3 goals in 60% of their last five appearances. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.65 goals and the attacking output of both teams clearly point towards at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is Dinamo Tirana leading at the break and holding on to win, as the home side led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 of 5 for Vora. Dinamo averaged 1.0 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded before the break, while Vora scored 0.8 goals and conceded an average of 0.6. Across their last five matches overall, the hosts also looked more solid defensively, conceding 0.6 goals per game compared with Vora’s 1.2, although the visitors remain unbeaten; consequently, the draw/Dinamo win HT/FT outcome is assigned a probability as high as 17%. After the break, Dinamo averaged 1.4 goals, and a goal was scored in the second half in each of their last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood of them defending or extending their lead.