Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb is the decided favorite for this meeting, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 82% home wins. The hosts demonstrate dominance in home matches, scoring an average of 2.55 goals with only 0.73 conceded, which translates to a +20 goal difference. Gorica performs significantly worse in away matches, winning only 27% of encounters and conceding an average of 1.36 goals per game with a goal difference of -3. Dinamo's advantage is also visible in xG statistics (2.1 vs 1.48) and possession (58% vs 45%), indicating game control. Additionally, Gorica fails to score in 36% of away matches, which, given the hosts' solid defense, makes a Dinamo Zagreb victory highly probable. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks for the hosts, who are earning more points per game.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dinamo Zagreb played against Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Dinamo Zagreb has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Gorica has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.26 goals per game and allows 0.74. Gorica scores 1.09 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Dinamo Zagreb's games and 57% of Gorica's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 48%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dinamo Zagreb has the higher season xG average, 1.99 to 1.40 per game. Dinamo Zagreb takes 16.4 shots per game, while Gorica takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Dinamo Zagreb leads at halftime in 65% of its games and scores 1.26 goals per game after halftime. Gorica leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dinamo Zagreb's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Gorica, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb is the decided favorite for this meeting, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 82% home wins. The hosts demonstrate dominance in home matches, scoring an average of 2.55 goals with only 0.73 conceded, which translates to a +20 goal difference. Gorica performs significantly worse in away matches, winning only 27% of encounters and conceding an average of 1.36 goals per game with a goal difference of -3. Dinamo's advantage is also visible in xG statistics (2.1 vs 1.48) and possession (58% vs 45%), indicating game control. Additionally, Gorica fails to score in 36% of away matches, which, given the hosts' solid defense, makes a Dinamo Zagreb victory highly probable. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks for the hosts, who are earning more points per game.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Zagreb | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dinamo Zagreb is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.4 pts / game - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 107% better for: goals scored per game.
2.26 goals / game - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.09 goals / game - Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.74 goals / game - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.39 goals / game - Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 meczów), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
Gorica scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dinamo Zagreb
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / game - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.48 pts / game - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 65% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dinamo Zagreb
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Zagreb | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Dinamo Zagreb's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Gorica. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished Dinamo Zagreb 4:2 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Zagreb and Gorica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 1, Gorica won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.26 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.09. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches and 57% of Gorica's.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Zagreb have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Gorica 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
The statistical background for Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.