Diósgyőr vs Várda SE: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Diósgyőr is in 10th place, but they perform solidly at home with 44% draws and a positive goal difference (+4). Várda SE, despite a higher position in the table (7th place), has poor away form with 44% losses and a negative goal difference (-7). Both teams have earned an identical number of points in their last five matches (0.8 PPG) and have similar shooting efficiency. The hosts have an advantage in possession (52% vs 45%) and a better xG ratio in home matches (1.36 vs the visitors' 1.22 away). Considering the high probability of draws for Diósgyőr at home and Várda's difficulties away, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
Diósgyőr vs Várda SE: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Diósgyőr played against Várda SE in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Diósgyőr has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Várda SE has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Diósgyőr scores 1.37 goals per game and allows 1.74. Várda SE scores 1.26 and allows 1.68. Games in this league average 3.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Diósgyőr's games and 42% of Várda SE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 53%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Várda SE has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.25 per game. Diósgyőr takes 11.6 shots per game, while Várda SE takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Diósgyőr leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Várda SE leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Diósgyőr's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Várda SE, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.08 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Diósgyőr is in 10th place, but they perform solidly at home with 44% draws and a positive goal difference (+4). Várda SE, despite a higher position in the table (7th place), has poor away form with 44% losses and a negative goal difference (-7). Both teams have earned an identical number of points in their last five matches (0.8 PPG) and have similar shooting efficiency. The hosts have an advantage in possession (52% vs 45%) and a better xG ratio in home matches (1.36 vs the visitors' 1.22 away). Considering the high probability of draws for Diósgyőr at home and Várda's difficulties away, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Diósgyőr | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Diósgyőr is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.37 goals / game - Diósgyőr · 1.26 goals / game - Várda SE
Diósgyőr scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
Várda SE scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Diósgyőr keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Diósgyőr
Over / Under - Várda SE
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Diósgyőr is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / game - Diósgyőr · 1.16 pts / game - Várda SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Diósgyőr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 21%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Diósgyőr
Várda SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Diósgyőr | Liga | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.11 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 62% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 89% | 89% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Diósgyőr's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Várda SE. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Diósgyőr vs Várda SE?
The NB I match finished Diósgyőr 1:1 Várda SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Diósgyőr vs Várda SE?
Diósgyőr score 1.37 goals per game on average and Várda SE 1.26. The NB I average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Diósgyőr's matches and 42% of Várda SE's.
What form are Diósgyőr and Várda SE in?
Over the last 5 games Diósgyőr have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Várda SE 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Diósgyőr vs Várda SE?
The statistical background for Diósgyőr vs Várda SE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.