Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an evenly matched contest with a slight preference for a draw scenario. Dire Dawa Kenema is showing very poor home form – just a 22% win rate at their own ground and only 0.56 goals per game, having failed to secure a single victory in their last 5 matches (0.8 pts/game). Hadiya Hosaena boasts a better away record (38% wins, 50% clean sheets) and a more effective offense (0.75 goals/game away vs the hosts' 0.56 at home). However, the key factor is both teams' high draw percentages – 44% for the hosts in home matches and 38% for the visitors away. This, combined with Dire Dawa's poor scoring form (67% of home matches without a goal) and the guests' solid defense, makes the draw the most likely outcome. The slight xG advantage for the visitors (1.12 vs 1.02) and their better form in the last 5 matches (1.4 pts/game) give them a chance for a positive result, but their difficulties in scoring away from home level the chances.
Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dire Dawa Kenema played against Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Dire Dawa Kenema has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Hadiya Hosaena has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.53 goals per game and allows 1.06. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.94 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Dire Dawa Kenema's games and 56% of Hadiya Hosaena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 44%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hadiya Hosaena has the higher season xG average, 1.11 to 0.95 per game. Dire Dawa Kenema takes 6.2 shots per game, while Hadiya Hosaena takes 6.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Dire Dawa Kenema leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Hadiya Hosaena leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dire Dawa Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Hadiya Hosaena, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an evenly matched contest with a slight preference for a draw scenario. Dire Dawa Kenema is showing very poor home form – just a 22% win rate at their own ground and only 0.56 goals per game, having failed to secure a single victory in their last 5 matches (0.8 pts/game). Hadiya Hosaena boasts a better away record (38% wins, 50% clean sheets) and a more effective offense (0.75 goals/game away vs the hosts' 0.56 at home). However, the key factor is both teams' high draw percentages – 44% for the hosts in home matches and 38% for the visitors away. This, combined with Dire Dawa's poor scoring form (67% of home matches without a goal) and the guests' solid defense, makes the draw the most likely outcome. The slight xG advantage for the visitors (1.12 vs 1.02) and their better form in the last 5 matches (1.4 pts/game) give them a chance for a positive result, but their difficulties in scoring away from home level the chances.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hadiya Hosaena is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.4 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hadiya Hosaena is 77% better for: goals scored per game.
0.53 goals / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.94 goals / game - Hadiya Hosaena
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 35% of games (6 of 17 meczów), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hadiya Hosaena is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1 pts / game - Hadiya Hosaena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dire Dawa Kenema
Hadiya Hosaena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Liga | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.59 | 1.72 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 41% | 41% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Dire Dawa KenemaGoalMohammednur Nasir
- Dire Dawa KenemaGoalMohammednur Nasir
FAQ
What was the result of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Dire Dawa Kenema 2:0 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Dire Dawa Kenema score 0.53 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.94. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Dire Dawa Kenema's matches and 56% of Hadiya Hosaena's.
What form are Dire Dawa Kenema and Hadiya Hosaena in?
Over the last 5 games Dire Dawa Kenema have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.