Dire Dawa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Dire Dawa Kenema played against Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on December 30, 2025. Final score: 0:3.

Recent form

Dire Dawa Kenema has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Negele Arsi Ketema has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.00. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.91 and allows 0.82. Games in this league average 1.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 45% of Dire Dawa Kenema's games and 45% of Negele Arsi Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 36%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Negele Arsi Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.16 to 1.05 per game. Dire Dawa Kenema takes 6.3 shots per game, while Negele Arsi Ketema takes 7.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Dire Dawa Kenema leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Negele Arsi Ketema leads at halftime in 9% and scores 0.55 after halftime.

When the teams score

Dire Dawa Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Negele Arsi Ketema, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.80 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

67Possession (%)33
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
11Shots12
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
3Shots on target6
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.22xG1.41
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
4Corners4
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
43Dangerous attacks32
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
11Fouls11
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0Cards0
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.82Goals scored / game0.91
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals allowed / game0.82
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
56%Average possession48%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
2.45Shots on target / game3
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.27Shots per game7.55
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
2.45Shots on target3
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
13%Shot conversion12%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
56%Possession48%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.05xG for1.16
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.44xG against1.19
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Shooting quality

Dire Dawa Kenema: Efficient finishingNegele Arsi Ketema: Balanced
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)39%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 2 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Dire Dawa Kenema
LDDDW
Season result split
36% W36% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-3
1.45 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Negele Arsi Ketema
WDWLW
Season result split
36% W36% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-3
1.45 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

0.82 goals / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.91 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.82 goals / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Dire Dawa Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 meczów), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 meczów).

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: strong

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 meczów), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 meczów).

9Goals scored (season)10
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
11Goals conceded (season)9
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.82Average goals per game1.73
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
27%2 goals27%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
27%2 goals18%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

45%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 11 meczów
46%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time27%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
9%Scored in both halves9%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
60%BTTS - last 540%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time36%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
9%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time18%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / game - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.18 pts / game - Negele Arsi Ketema

Dire Dawa Kenema - half-time state
18% leading36% draw45% trailing
Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
9% leading91% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per game (1st half)1.18
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.27Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.82Average goals (1st half)0.64
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
45%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
73%No goal before half-time64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per game (2nd half)1.27
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1Average goals (2nd half)1.09
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
55%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
64%No goal after half-time64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results

27% W36% R36% P
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

27% W45% R27% P
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Dire Dawa Kenema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Dire Dawa Kenema
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Dire Dawa Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Dire Dawa KenemaLigaNegele Arsi Ketema
Average goals per game 1.821.80 1.73
Both teams scored 45%46% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%29% 36%
Clean sheets 27%36% 36%
Goal before half-time 73%58% 36%
Goal after half-time 73%61% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
0.92
Home goals / game
0.88
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Dire Dawa Kenema 0:3 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dire Dawa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Dire Dawa Kenema score 0.82 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 0.91. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Dire Dawa Kenema's matches and 45% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.

What form are Dire Dawa Kenema and Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Dire Dawa Kenema have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.