Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione: match statistics

Both teams began the season with a win and conceded just 1 goal each after one match, so the available data does not indicate a clear advantage for either side. In their last five matches, Dolomiti Bellunesi and Alcione have recorded identical results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, averaging 1.4 points per game. The visitors have been slightly more effective during this period, scoring 5 goals compared with the hosts’ 3, but both defenses have conceded exactly 4 goals. Given the evenly matched form and the lack of reliable home and away statistics, a draw is the most likely outcome. Alcione have the edge in terms of goal production, but Dolomiti Bellunesi can offset that advantage with home-field advantage.

The BTTS - No pick is stronger because both teams scored in only 20% of Dolomiti Bellunesi’s last five matches, compared with 40% for Alcione. The hosts scored just 0.6 goals per match during this period, despite an average xG of 1.05, indicating clearly limited finishing efficiency. Alcione averaged 1.0 goal, while both teams conceded 0.8 goals per match across their last five appearances, suggesting a potentially tight, low-scoring game. The xG values against their opponents—1.61 for the hosts and 1.47 for the visitors—offer some goal potential, but their current scoring records are weaker than the league BTTS rate of 60%. The most likely scenario is that at least one team will fail to score.

In their last five matches, Dolomiti Bellunesi scored an average of just 0.6 goals and conceded 0.8, while Alcione averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded. The 2.5-goal line was surpassed in only 20% and 40% of these matches respectively, clearly reducing the likelihood of an open game. However, the xG indicators suggest goal potential, as the hosts created chances worth 1.05 xG, while their opponents allowed 1.47 xG to opposing teams; for the visitors, the figures stand at 1.39 and 1.61. The projected total of 2.30 goals remains close to the league average of 2.4, but well below the four-goal threshold. The strongest selection is therefore Under 3.5 goals, as the current results of both teams point to limited attacking efficiency, while losing this line requires at least four goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as both teams were level at the break in 40% of their last five matches. During this period, Dolomiti Bellunesi scored only 0.2 goals before half-time, while Alcione averaged 0.6, with both sides conceding an average of 0.4 goals, which points to a cautious opening. After the break, both teams averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, while the second half ended level in 60% of their recent matches. Their overall record across the last five appearances is identical: 1.4 points per match, a 40% win rate, 20% draws and 40% defeats, so there is no clear basis for favouring either side.