Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics
Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dorados played against Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Dorados has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Correcaminos UAT has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Dorados scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 2.00. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.08 and allows 2.13. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Dorados's games and 67% of Correcaminos UAT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 63%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.12 per game. Dorados takes 9.9 shots per game, while Correcaminos UAT takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Dorados leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Correcaminos UAT leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dorados's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Correcaminos UAT, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Correcaminos UAT show much better recent form (ddwwl, PPG 1.6) than Dorados (llldl, PPG 0.2), favoring the visitors. Dorados have poor season efficiency — only 2 wins, 20 goals for and 50 conceded — and weak recent home form. Correcaminos scored more in the last five (7) and demonstrate better attacking efficiency despite similar xG, though they also concede. Both defenses are vulnerable, but form and short-term scoring ability favor the visitors. I back a Correcaminos win, acknowledging moderate draw risk due to home inefficiency.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong BTTS signal: Dorados season BTTS 75%, Correcaminos 58%, league avg 55%. Both concede heavily (ga_season_home 2.08, ga_season_away 2.17) and have low CS% (8% and 25%), increasing Goal/Goal probability. xG shows both create chances (xg_for_home 1.27, xg_for_away 0.97) and are defensively exposed (xg_against_home 1.6, xg_against_away 1.99). Despite Dorados’ lower L5 BTTS (40%) and weaker recent scoring, overall profiles (high over2.5 and few CS) support BTTS. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes (with confidence lean).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Strong Over 1.5 signal driven by high seasonOver15: Dorados 92% and Correcaminos 83%, indicating regular matches with at least two goals. xG model suggests 1.63 for home and 1.29 for away (avg and opponent conceded), total ~2.92, matching league avg ~2.91. High BTTS (Dorados 75%, Correcaminos 58%), high shot volumes and weak defenses favor an open game. Over2.5 possible but with lower confidence; Over3.5 less likely given moderate over35 rates.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates the most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and an away victory in the second half. The away team has better recent form (ddwwl) and higher second-half metrics (ppg_2hg_away 1.42, wins_2hg_percentage_away 42%), suggesting a turnaround after the break. Hosts are in poor run (llldl) and HT averages are often balanced, hence HT draw probability is elevated. High BTTS and concentration of goals late (min.76-90) increase probability of decisive second-half goals for Correcaminos.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Correcaminos UAT is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Dorados · 1.6 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Correcaminos UAT is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Dorados · 1.08 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT
Dorados is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Dorados · 2.13 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT
Dorados scores in 52% of games (13 of 25 meczów), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
Correcaminos UAT scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dorados is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / game - Dorados · 0.63 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 8%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dorados
Correcaminos UAT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.80 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Dorados's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Correcaminos UAT. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 2:1 Correcaminos UAT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT?
Dorados score 0.80 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.08. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Dorados's matches and 67% of Correcaminos UAT's.
What form are Dorados and Correcaminos UAT in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.