Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams in poor form. Dorados is displaying disastrous form with only two victories all season and a winless streak of five matches, while Leones Negros is also in a crisis, without a win in their last five fixtures. The hosts have a slightly better record at home (18% win rate, 36% draw rate) than the visitors do away (25% win rate, 8% draw rate), which gives them a marginal edge. Both teams struggle defensively – Dorados concedes an average of 1.09 goals at home, and Leones a staggering 2.17 away, suggesting the potential for goals at both ends. Considering the abysmal form of both squads, low offensive output, and defensive instability, a draw appears to be the most probable scenario, although neither team can be ruled out of the fight for all three points.
Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dorados played against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Dorados has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Dorados scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 2.04. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.21 and allows 1.54. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Dorados's games and 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 42%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.10 per game. Dorados takes 9.7 shots per game, while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Dorados leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dorados's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams in poor form. Dorados is displaying disastrous form with only two victories all season and a winless streak of five matches, while Leones Negros is also in a crisis, without a win in their last five fixtures. The hosts have a slightly better record at home (18% win rate, 36% draw rate) than the visitors do away (25% win rate, 8% draw rate), which gives them a marginal edge. Both teams struggle defensively – Dorados concedes an average of 1.09 goals at home, and Leones a staggering 2.17 away, suggesting the potential for goals at both ends. Considering the abysmal form of both squads, low offensive output, and defensive instability, a draw appears to be the most probable scenario, although neither team can be ruled out of the fight for all three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Dorados · 0.4 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 46% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Dorados · 1.21 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.04 goals / game - Dorados · 1.54 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Dorados scores in 52% of games (12 of 23 meczów), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / game - Dorados · 1.13 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 9%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dorados
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.87 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Joél Gustavo Pérez ValleOff: Denilson Saaid Muñoz Bustamante
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan Jesús Brigido ChenOff: Olaf González Manzano
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Óscar Gil Vázquez
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Daniel TorresOff: Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Dorados's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 1:1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Dorados score 0.83 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.21. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Dorados's matches and 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Dorados and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.