Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos appears to be the clear favorite for this match. Dorados is in very poor form with just 2 wins in the entire season and a goal difference of -19 (15:34), while the visitors have a solid record of 7-8-6 and a positive goal difference of +7 (27:20). Key statistics indicate the visitors' advantage: Tepatitlán has a significantly better xG rate (1.52 vs 1.04 for the hosts), averages 5.5 accurate shots per away match (vs 2.38 for Dorados at home), and has 50% possession. Dorados loses as many as 50% of their home matches and fails to score in 38% of cases, which, combined with a defense that concedes an average of 1.13 goals per match at home, presents a clear opportunity for the visitors. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches (1.0 PPG for Dorados vs 1.4 PPG for Tepatitlán) further confirms the visitors' advantage, as they have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dorados played against Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Dorados has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Dorados scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 2.00. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.29 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Dorados's games and 52% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 33%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tepatitlán de Morelos has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.17 per game. Dorados takes 10.3 shots per game, while Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Dorados leads at halftime in 6% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dorados's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Tepatitlán de Morelos, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tepatitlán de Morelos appears to be the clear favorite for this match. Dorados is in very poor form with just 2 wins in the entire season and a goal difference of -19 (15:34), while the visitors have a solid record of 7-8-6 and a positive goal difference of +7 (27:20). Key statistics indicate the visitors' advantage: Tepatitlán has a significantly better xG rate (1.52 vs 1.04 for the hosts), averages 5.5 accurate shots per away match (vs 2.38 for Dorados at home), and has 50% possession. Dorados loses as many as 50% of their home matches and fails to score in 38% of cases, which, combined with a defense that concedes an average of 1.13 goals per match at home, presents a clear opportunity for the visitors. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches (1.0 PPG for Dorados vs 1.4 PPG for Tepatitlán) further confirms the visitors' advantage, as they have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Dorados · 1.4 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 47% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Dorados · 1.29 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 111% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Dorados · 0.95 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Dorados scores in 59% of games (10 of 17 meczów), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 153% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.47 pts / game - Dorados · 1.19 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 12%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dorados
Tepatitlán de Morelos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.88 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Dorados's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tepatitlán de Morelos. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 0:0 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Dorados score 0.88 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.29. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Dorados's matches and 52% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.
What form are Dorados and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
The statistical background for Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


