Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of September 12, 2026

Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics

120%(2.90)
X30%(3.50)
250%(2.05)

Tepatitlán de Morelos appears to be the clear favorite for this match. Dorados is in very poor form with just 2 wins in the entire season and a goal difference of -19 (15:34), while the visitors have a solid record of 7-8-6 and a positive goal difference of +7 (27:20). Key statistics indicate the visitors' advantage: Tepatitlán has a significantly better xG rate (1.52 vs 1.04 for the hosts), averages 5.5 accurate shots per away match (vs 2.38 for Dorados at home), and has 50% possession. Dorados loses as many as 50% of their home matches and fails to score in 38% of cases, which, combined with a defense that concedes an average of 1.13 goals per match at home, presents a clear opportunity for the visitors. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches (1.0 PPG for Dorados vs 1.4 PPG for Tepatitlán) further confirms the visitors' advantage, as they have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.

Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Dorados played against Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

Dorados has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Dorados scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 2.00. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.29 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 53% of Dorados's games and 52% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 33%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tepatitlán de Morelos has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.17 per game. Dorados takes 10.3 shots per game, while Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 13.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Dorados leads at halftime in 6% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Dorados's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Tepatitlán de Morelos, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tepatitlán de Morelos appears to be the clear favorite for this match. Dorados is in very poor form with just 2 wins in the entire season and a goal difference of -19 (15:34), while the visitors have a solid record of 7-8-6 and a positive goal difference of +7 (27:20). Key statistics indicate the visitors' advantage: Tepatitlán has a significantly better xG rate (1.52 vs 1.04 for the hosts), averages 5.5 accurate shots per away match (vs 2.38 for Dorados at home), and has 50% possession. Dorados loses as many as 50% of their home matches and fails to score in 38% of cases, which, combined with a defense that concedes an average of 1.13 goals per match at home, presents a clear opportunity for the visitors. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches (1.0 PPG for Dorados vs 1.4 PPG for Tepatitlán) further confirms the visitors' advantage, as they have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

47Possession (%)53
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
12Shots13
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
4Shots on target4
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.38xG1.79
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
2Corners8
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
48Dangerous attacks97
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
17Fouls15
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
2Cards3
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
0.88Goals scored / game1.29
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
2Goals allowed / game0.95
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
44%Average possession50%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
3.06Shots on target / game5.14
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.29Shots per game13.9
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
3.06Shots on target5.14
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
8.6%Shot conversion9.2%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
44%Possession50%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.17xG for1.62
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.8xG against1.28
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

Shooting quality

Dorados: BalancedTepatitlán de Morelos: Balanced
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
Accuracy (shots on target)30%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Dorados · 1.4 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Dorados
DLLWD
Season result split
12% W18% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-12
0.53 pts / game · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
LLDWW
Season result split
33% W38% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-8-6
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 47% better for: goals scored per game.

0.88 goals / game - Dorados · 1.29 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 111% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Dorados · 0.95 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Dorados scoring profile: strong

Dorados scores in 59% of games (10 of 17 meczów), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: very strong

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).

15Goals scored (season)27
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
34Goals conceded (season)20
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
2.88Average goals per game2.24
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
9Goals scored (last 5)4
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
13Goals conceded (last 5)3
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal71%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
18%2 goals29%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
6%3 goals24%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
6%4 goals5%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal71%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
59%2 goals19%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
41%3 goals5%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
12%4 goals0%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 21 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time19%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
6%BTTS in both halves5%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
6%Scored in both halves24%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
100%BTTS - last 520%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 153% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.47 pts / game - Dorados · 1.19 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Dorados - half-time state
6% leading29% draw65% trailing
Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
29% leading33% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.47Points per game (1st half)1.19
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
0.12Goals scored (1st half)0.57
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
0.94Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.14
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
35%Clean sheet before half-time43%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
88%No goal before half-time62%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

After half-time (2nd half)

0.82Points per game (2nd half)1.67
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.82Average goals (2nd half)1.1
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
24%Clean sheet after half-time67%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos
47%No goal after half-time43%
DoradosTepatitlán de Morelos

Dorados - second-half results

18% W29% D53% L
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 12%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

43% W38% D19% L
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Dorados - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.21.6
Goals allowed / game1.41.2
Average goals per game1.62.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-6+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.60.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Dorados
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
0
8
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
4
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
6
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Dorados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
47% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
47%

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

DoradosLigaTepatitlán de Morelos
Average goals per game 2.882.93 2.24
Both teams scored 53%55% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%54% 33%
Clean sheets 12%26% 29%
Goal before half-time 71%76% 76%
Goal after half-time 88%80% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Tepatitlán de MorelosYellow cardOmar Islas Hernández
  2. Tepatitlán de MorelosYellow cardIdekel Alberto Domínguez Rodríguez
  3. DoradosYellow cardAbraham Flores Cruz
  4. Tepatitlán de MorelosSubstitutionOn: Bryan Mendoza CruzOff: Amaury Gabriel Escoto Ruiz
  5. DoradosSubstitutionOn: Carlos GaliciaOff: David Osuna
  6. Tepatitlán de MorelosYellow cardUlises Israel Cardona Carrillo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Eduardo Reynoso MartínezMatches officiated: 10
4.9Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins50%Draws10%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Dorados's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tepatitlán de Morelos. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
3 : 0
CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

FAQ

What was the result of Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 0:0 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Dorados score 0.88 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.29. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Dorados's matches and 52% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.

What form are Dorados and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?

Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

The statistical background for Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.