Dumbarton vs Elgin City: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Dumbarton occupies a higher position in the table (8th place), but their home form is worrying – just 33% of matches won at home and a streak of three defeats in the last five meetings. Elgin City presents weaker overall form (10th place); however, in away matches, they achieve an impressive 44% draw rate, suggesting an ability to play defensively on foreign grounds. A key factor is Elgin's advantage in xG statistics (1.42 vs 0.95), indicating better quality of created chances despite lower efficiency (10% vs 21%). Both teams have an identical average of conceded goals away and at home (1.67), and their negative goal differences (-3 for Dumbarton, -5 for Elgin) confirm the balanced level. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' tendency to draw, a split of points is the most probable result.
Dumbarton vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dumbarton played against Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Dumbarton has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Elgin City has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Dumbarton scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 1.89. Elgin City scores 1.39 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.02 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 84% of Dumbarton's games and 61% of Elgin City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 50%, compared with league averages of 70% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Elgin City has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 0.98 per game. Dumbarton takes 6.4 shots per game, while Elgin City takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Dumbarton leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Elgin City leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.06 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dumbarton's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Elgin City, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 3.02 goals. Both teams score in 70% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Dumbarton occupies a higher position in the table (8th place), but their home form is worrying – just 33% of matches won at home and a streak of three defeats in the last five meetings. Elgin City presents weaker overall form (10th place); however, in away matches, they achieve an impressive 44% draw rate, suggesting an ability to play defensively on foreign grounds. A key factor is Elgin's advantage in xG statistics (1.42 vs 0.95), indicating better quality of created chances despite lower efficiency (10% vs 21%). Both teams have an identical average of conceded goals away and at home (1.67), and their negative goal differences (-3 for Dumbarton, -5 for Elgin) confirm the balanced level. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' tendency to draw, a split of points is the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dumbarton | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dumbarton is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Dumbarton · 0.4 pts / game - Elgin City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dumbarton is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.53 goals / game - Dumbarton · 1.39 goals / game - Elgin City
Elgin City is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.89 goals / game - Dumbarton · 1.5 goals / game - Elgin City
Dumbarton scores in 89% of games (17 of 19 meczów), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
Elgin City scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dumbarton
Over / Under - Elgin City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elgin City is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / game - Dumbarton · 1.06 pts / game - Elgin City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dumbarton
Elgin City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Dumbarton | Liga | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.42 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 84% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 18% | ▲ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Dumbarton's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Elgin City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
The League Two match finished Dumbarton 2:2 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and Elgin City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 0, Elgin City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
Dumbarton score 1.53 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.39. The League Two average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 84% of Dumbarton's matches and 61% of Elgin City's.
What form are Dumbarton and Elgin City in?
Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Elgin City 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.