Dumbarton vs Elgin City: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Dumbarton occupies a higher position in the table (8th place), but their home form is worrying – just 33% of matches won at home and a streak of three defeats in the last five meetings. Elgin City presents weaker overall form (10th place); however, in away matches, they achieve an impressive 44% draw rate, suggesting an ability to play defensively on foreign grounds. A key factor is Elgin's advantage in xG statistics (1.42 vs 0.95), indicating better quality of created chances despite lower efficiency (10% vs 21%). Both teams have an identical average of conceded goals away and at home (1.67), and their negative goal differences (-3 for Dumbarton, -5 for Elgin) confirm the balanced level. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' tendency to draw, a split of points is the most probable result.
Dumbarton vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dumbarton play Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Dumbarton: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Elgin City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dumbarton scores 1.31 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Elgin City scores 1.42 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dumbarton 69%, Elgin City 58%. Over 2.5: Dumbarton 56%, Elgin City 56%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.03. Dumbarton: 7.2 shots per match, Elgin City: 9.5.
Match halves
Dumbarton: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.78. Elgin City: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Dumbarton: 61-75 (12 goals). Elgin City: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Dumbarton occupies a higher position in the table (8th place), but their home form is worrying – just 33% of matches won at home and a streak of three defeats in the last five meetings. Elgin City presents weaker overall form (10th place); however, in away matches, they achieve an impressive 44% draw rate, suggesting an ability to play defensively on foreign grounds. A key factor is Elgin's advantage in xG statistics (1.42 vs 0.95), indicating better quality of created chances despite lower efficiency (10% vs 21%). Both teams have an identical average of conceded goals away and at home (1.67), and their negative goal differences (-3 for Dumbarton, -5 for Elgin) confirm the balanced level. Considering the hosts' poor form and the visitors' tendency to draw, a split of points is the most probable result.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dumbarton | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dumbarton is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Dumbarton · 0.4 pts / match - Elgin City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.42 goals / match - Elgin City
Elgin City is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.53 goals / match - Elgin City
Dumbarton scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Elgin City scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dumbarton
Over / Under — Elgin City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elgin City is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Dumbarton · 1.19 pts / match - Elgin City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dumbarton
Elgin City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Dumbarton | Liga | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.97 | 2.92 | • 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dumbarton 0 - 2 - 1 Elgin City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
The League Two match finished Dumbarton 2:2 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and Elgin City?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 0, Elgin City won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
Dumbarton score 1.31 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.42. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Dumbarton's matches and 58% of Elgin City's.
What form are Dumbarton and Elgin City in?
Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Elgin City 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.