Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics
Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dumbarton played against Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Dumbarton has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Forfar Athletic has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Dumbarton scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.75. Forfar Athletic scores 1.00 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 3.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Dumbarton's games and 38% of Forfar Athletic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dumbarton has the higher season xG average, 1.07 to 1.03 per game. Dumbarton takes 7.6 shots per game, while Forfar Athletic takes 7.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Dumbarton leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Forfar Athletic leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dumbarton's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Forfar Athletic, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 3.48 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dumbarton have won 3 of their 4 home matches so far, while Forfar Athletic are yet to win away and have lost 2 of their 4 matches on the road. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded at home, whereas the visitors manage just 0.75 goals per away game and concede 2.5. Although both teams average 3.5 shots on target in these conditions, Dumbarton’s conversion rate stands at 25%, compared with 12% for Forfar. The quality of chances created also gives the hosts a slight edge: their home xG is 1.00, while the visitors’ away xG is 0.92. Dumbarton have scored 11 goals and won 3 times in their last 5 matches, but have also conceded 13, leaving Forfar with a chance to cause an upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Dumbarton’s home matches: the hosts kept a clean sheet in 75% of them, and none saw both teams find the net. Forfar average just 0.75 goals away from home and generate an xG of 0.92, while Dumbarton concede an average of 0.75 goals at home. A home goal is more likely, as Forfar concede an average of 2.5 goals away and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. Recent form favors both teams to score: Dumbarton conceded an average of 2.6 goals across their last five matches, while Forfar scored 1.0 goal. Even so, Forfar’s away attack against Dumbarton’s home defense gives a slight edge to BTTS - No, which means at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals: all of Forfar’s away matches have gone over this line, while Dumbarton’s last 5 matches have averaged 4.8 goals. The hosts have recently scored 2.2 goals per match, compared with 1.0 for the visitors, and Forfar have conceded an average of 2.5 goals away from home. However, caution on higher lines is warranted, as Dumbarton have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their home matches, and none of their home games have gone over 3.5 goals. With an expected total of 2.65 goals, Over 1.5 looks a safer option than betting on at least 3 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dumbarton led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches analyzed, while Forfar were behind at half-time in 2 of their 4 away fixtures and did not lead in any of them. The hosts score an average of 1.0 goals before the break, while the visitors concede 1.5 in that period, pointing to an early Dumbarton lead. The case for the hosts holding on is further supported by their 75% win rate compared with Forfar’s failure to win away, as well as Dumbarton conceding an average of 0.75 goals against Forfar’s 2.5. Confidence is tempered by recent form: across their last five matches regardless of venue, Dumbarton conceded an average of 2.6 goals, while Forfar won twice. Nevertheless, the combination of stronger first halves and better home results makes a Dumbarton lead at the break followed by a full-time win the most likely scenario (HT/FT: 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dumbarton | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dumbarton is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Dumbarton · 0.8 pts / game - Forfar Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forfar Athletic is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Dumbarton · 1.63 goals / game - Forfar Athletic
Dumbarton scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).
Forfar Athletic scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dumbarton
Over / Under - Forfar Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dumbarton
Forfar Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Dumbarton | Liga | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.75 | 3.48 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Dumbarton's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Forfar Athletic. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?
The League Two match finished Dumbarton 2:1 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and Forfar Athletic?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 1, Forfar Athletic won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?
Dumbarton score 1.00 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.00. The League Two average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Dumbarton's matches and 38% of Forfar Athletic's.
What form are Dumbarton and Forfar Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.