Dundee United vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Dundee United are displaying decisively better form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 1.8 points per game, while Kilmarnock are averaging only 1.2 points per game. The home side holds the advantage in possession (40% vs 35%) and shot accuracy (8% vs 11% despite a significantly higher number of attempts). A key factor is the visitors' poor defense, conceding an average of 2.23 goals per match away from home and having a mere 8% win rate in away fixtures. Kilmarnock have a negative goal difference of -16 on the road, which, combined with a 54% loss rate, makes them highly susceptible to dropping points. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.52 vs 1.08) also speaks in favor of Dundee United, although the hosts must improve their finishing, as they have failed to score in 42% of their home matches. Considering all statistics, Dundee United have a realistic chance of victory, yet their own issues with scoring goals consistently at home could make the match more evenly contested than the form of both teams would suggest.
Dundee United vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundee United play Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Dundee United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kilmarnock: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundee United scores 1.29 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.32 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundee United 55%, Kilmarnock 55%. Over 2.5: Dundee United 50%, Kilmarnock 66%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Dundee United has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.31. Dundee United: 13.2 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 11.4.
Match halves
Dundee United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Dundee United: 61-75 (14 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Dundee United are displaying decisively better form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 1.8 points per game, while Kilmarnock are averaging only 1.2 points per game. The home side holds the advantage in possession (40% vs 35%) and shot accuracy (8% vs 11% despite a significantly higher number of attempts). A key factor is the visitors' poor defense, conceding an average of 2.23 goals per match away from home and having a mere 8% win rate in away fixtures. Kilmarnock have a negative goal difference of -16 on the road, which, combined with a 54% loss rate, makes them highly susceptible to dropping points. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.52 vs 1.08) also speaks in favor of Dundee United, although the hosts must improve their finishing, as they have failed to score in 42% of their home matches. Considering all statistics, Dundee United have a realistic chance of victory, yet their own issues with scoring goals consistently at home could make the match more evenly contested than the form of both teams would suggest.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundee United | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kilmarnock is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Dundee United · 2.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundee United is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Dundee United · 1.79 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Dundee United scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Kilmarnock scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Dundee United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dundee United
Over / Under — Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Dundee United · 1.42 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundee United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundee United
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dundee United | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.87 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dundee United 0 - 1 - 2 Kilmarnock. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundee United vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Dundee United 0:0 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee United and Kilmarnock?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dundee United won 0, Kilmarnock won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundee United vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee United score 1.29 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.32. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Dundee United's matches and 55% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Dundee United and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Dundee United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kilmarnock 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee United vs Kilmarnock?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dundee United vs Kilmarnock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.