Dundee vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Dundee vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dundee played against St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Dundee has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. St. Mirren has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Dundee scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.65. St. Mirren scores 0.79 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Dundee's games and 38% of St. Mirren's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 32%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
St. Mirren has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.12 per game. Dundee takes 9.9 shots per game, while St. Mirren takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Dundee leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. St. Mirren leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dundee's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For St. Mirren, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dundee holds the edge in home metrics: they score an average of 1.5 goals at home and concede 1.63 per match, while St. Mirren average 1.0 scored and 1.88 conceded away. Hosts win 38% of home games versus just 12% away wins for the visitors, and the difference in home goal difference (-2) versus the visitors’ away goal difference (-15) further favors Dundee. Dundee averages 3.44 shots on target with a 14% conversion rate, while St. Mirren records 3.06 on-target shots and a 9% conversion, despite similar xG (1.24 vs 1.29). A downside for the hosts is poor form over the last 5 matches (0 wins and 0.4 points per game) compared to St. Mirren (2 wins and 1.2 points per game), which evens the chances. However, a lower home loss rate (38% vs 65%) and a smaller share of matches without scoring (19% vs 35%) lead me to forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 60% vs 40% because the aggregate signal points to goal exchange. St. Mirren posts a seasonal away BTTS of 65% and concedes 1.88 goals on average away, increasing the likelihood that Dundee (despite scoring only 0.59 goals per game at home seasonally) will find the net. Dundee generates 1.4 xG versus St. Mirren’s 1.29 xG and averages 12.35 shots (3.88 on target) per match, while both teams have been conceding an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 games, which amplifies the chance of both teams scoring. The counterpoint is Dundee’s seasonal 12% BTTS and 47% clean sheets at home, but recent form shows 60% BTTS for Dundee and 40% for St. Mirren in the last 5 matches, so the 'Yes' signal is stronger. Considering St. Mirren’s high away BTTS (65%), the weakened defenses of both sides in the last 5 games (2.0 goals conceded) and the generated xG, I assign 60% to 'Yes' and 40% to 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model yields: Dundee xG_for 1.40 vs St. Mirren xG_against 1.55 → expected home goals ~1.48; St. Mirren xG_for 1.29 vs Dundee xG_against 1.34 → expected away goals ~1.31, total ~2.79 goals. With λ=2.79 the Poisson distribution gives probability of Over 1.5 goals ≈77%, Over 2.5 ≈53% and Over 3.5 ≈30%. Season figures confirm St. Mirren’s scoring tendency (Over 1.5 in 88% of matches and Over 2.5 in 47%), while Dundee has a lower season Over 2.5 (18%) but in the last 5 matches Dundee had 80% of games over 2.5. Additionally, in the last 5 fixtures Dundee scored 5 and conceded 10 goals, and St. Mirren scored 6 and conceded 10, which elevates the goal risk. Considering xG 2.79 and St. Mirren’s clear 88% Over 1.5 rate, the strongest signal is an Over 1.5 bet (recommended).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics indicate a draw as the most likely scenario — Dundee were level at half-time in 59% of matches and St. Mirren in 47%, which in my assessment implies roughly a 58% probability of a half-time draw. In the second half the home side have greater potential to decide the match: Dundee post an average xG of 1.40 versus 1.29 for St. Mirren, and St. Mirren concede on average 1.88 goals per game compared to 1.06 conceded by Dundee. Additionally, Dundee earn an average of 1.18 points per home game versus 0.59 points for St. Mirren away. The second half is likely to be goal-active — 71% of the home team’s matches feature at least one goal after the break, and in Dundee’s last 5 matches the second half has contained at least one goal in 100% of cases, so I expect a turnaround after the break. On this basis my strongest signal is a half-time draw and a Dundee win at full-time (X/1), and I assign the highest probability to that scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dundee | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
St. Mirren is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Dundee · 1.2 pts / game - St. Mirren
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundee is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Dundee · 0.79 goals / game - St. Mirren
St. Mirren is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.65 goals / game - Dundee · 1.47 goals / game - St. Mirren
Dundee scores in 56% of games (19 of 34 meczów), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 meczów).
St. Mirren scores in 53% of games (18 of 34 meczów), while Dundee keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dundee
Over / Under - St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundee is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Dundee · 0.97 pts / game - St. Mirren
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundee - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 24%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dundee
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dundee | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.65 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Dundee's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against St. Mirren. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundee vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Dundee 1:0 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and St. Mirren?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dundee won 1, St. Mirren won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundee vs St. Mirren?
Dundee score 1.00 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 0.79. The Premiership average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Dundee's matches and 38% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Dundee and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Dundee have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and St. Mirren 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee vs St. Mirren?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.