Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United: match statistics
Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dunfermline Athletic play Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 20 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Dunfermline Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ayr United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dunfermline Athletic scores 1.44 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Ayr United scores 1.06 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dunfermline Athletic 36%, Ayr United 61%. Over 2.5: Dunfermline Athletic 47%, Ayr United 42%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Ayr United has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.30. Dunfermline Athletic: 9.9 shots per match, Ayr United: 10.3.
Match halves
Dunfermline Athletic: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.81. Ayr United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Dunfermline Athletic: 46-60 (12 goals). Ayr United: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dunfermline Athletic | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dunfermline Athletic is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic · 0.6 pts / match - Ayr United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dunfermline Athletic is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.06 goals / match - Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.31 goals / match - Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Ayr United scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Dunfermline Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dunfermline Athletic
Over / Under — Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.39 pts / match - Ayr United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dunfermline Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dunfermline Athletic
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Dunfermline Athletic | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.43 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 48% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 33% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dunfermline Athletic 2 - 0 - 1 Ayr United. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?
The Championship match finished Dunfermline Athletic 2:3 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dunfermline Athletic won 2, Ayr United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?
Dunfermline Athletic score 1.44 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.06. The Championship average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Dunfermline Athletic's matches and 61% of Ayr United's.
What form are Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games Dunfermline Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ayr United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.