Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Dunfermline Athletic played against Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on December 20, 2025. Final score: 2:3.

Recent form

Dunfermline Athletic has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Ayr United has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Dunfermline Athletic scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.00. Ayr United scores 1.22 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Dunfermline Athletic's games and 56% of Ayr United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 33%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ayr United has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.33 per game. Dunfermline Athletic takes 9.8 shots per game, while Ayr United takes 10.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Dunfermline Athletic leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Ayr United leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.39 after halftime.

When the teams score

Dunfermline Athletic's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Ayr United, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 3
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

60Possession (%)40
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
16Shots9
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
5Shots on target6
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
1.85xG1.2
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
5Corners5
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
67Dangerous attacks27
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
10Fouls10
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
2Cards1
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
1.33Goals scored / game1.22
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
1Goals allowed / game1.11
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
50%Average possession49%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
4.33Shots on target / game4.61
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.83Shots per game10.67
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
4.33Shots on target4.61
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
13.6%Shot conversion11.5%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
50%Possession49%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
1.33xG for1.41
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
1.41xG against1.21
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

Shooting quality

Dunfermline Athletic: Efficient finishingAyr United: Balanced
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
Accuracy (shots on target)44%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ayr United is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.2 pts / game - Ayr United

Dunfermline Athletic
DWLLD
Season result split
33% W28% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-7
1.28 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Ayr United
DDWDL
Season result split
28% W50% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-9-4
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dunfermline Athletic is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.22 goals / game - Ayr United

Dunfermline Athletic is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.11 goals / game - Ayr United

Dunfermline Athletic scoring profile: strong

Dunfermline Athletic scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).

Ayr United scoring profile: strong

Ayr United scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Dunfermline Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 meczów).

24Goals scored (season)22
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
18Goals conceded (season)20
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
2.33Average goals per game2.33
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal72%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
39%2 goals33%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
11%3 goals11%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
11%4 goals6%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal67%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
39%2 goals28%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
6%3 goals11%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
0%4 goals6%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

33%
Dunfermline Athletic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 18 meczów
51%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time11%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
17%BTTS in both halves6%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
33%Scored in both halves11%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
60%BTTS - last 560%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

2nd half

56%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ayr United is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / game - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.67 pts / game - Ayr United

Dunfermline Athletic - half-time state
39% leading28% draw33% trailing
Ayr United - half-time state
50% leading17% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per game (1st half)1.67
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.83
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
1.28Average goals (1st half)1.28
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
56%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
44%No goal before half-time44%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.28Points per game (2nd half)1.17
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.06
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
67%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United
56%No goal after half-time72%
Dunfermline AthleticAyr United

Dunfermline Athletic - second-half results

22% W61% D17% L
26
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ayr United - second-half results

22% W50% D28% L
30
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 28%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Dunfermline Athletic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ayr United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Dunfermline Athletic
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
4
2
16-30
8
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
6
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Dunfermline Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Dunfermline AthleticLigaAyr United
Average goals per game 2.332.48 2.33
Both teams scored 33%51% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%46% 33%
Clean sheets 44%31% 33%
Goal before half-time 83%70% 83%
Goal after half-time 56%73% 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / game
1.16
Away goals / game
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Ayr UnitedGoalMark McKenzieAssist: Marco Rus
  2. Ayr UnitedSubstitutionOn: Dylan WatretOff: Mark McKenzie
  3. Ayr UnitedGoalAnton Dowds
  4. Ayr UnitedYellow cardStuart Bannigan
  5. Dunfermline AthleticYellow cardZak Rudden
  6. Ayr UnitedGoalLeon Thomson King
  7. Dunfermline AthleticGoalKieran NgwenyaAssist: Robbie Fraser
  8. Dunfermline AthleticGoalKieran Ngwenya
  9. Dunfermline AthleticYellow cardCharlie Gilmour

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Calum ScottMatches officiated: 10
5.1Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins30%Draws30%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Dunfermline Athletic's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ayr United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Ayr United FC
0 : 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 : 1
Ayr United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

The Championship match finished Dunfermline Athletic 2:3 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dunfermline Athletic won 1, Ayr United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Dunfermline Athletic score 1.33 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.22. The Championship average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Dunfermline Athletic's matches and 56% of Ayr United's.

What form are Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United in?

Over the last 5 games Dunfermline Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ayr United 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.