Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Francisco ZarcoData current as of October 17, 2026

Durango vs Tapatío: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Durango vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Durango plays Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estadio Francisco Zarco.

Recent form

Durango has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Tapatío has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Durango scores 0.92 goals per game and allows 0.92. Tapatío scores 1.92 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 25% of Durango's games and 67% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.42 per game. Durango takes 11.3 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Durango leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Durango's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.92)
(3.50)
(3.44)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.92Goals scored / game1.92
DurangoTapatío
0.92Goals allowed / game1.67
DurangoTapatío
59%Average possession49%
DurangoTapatío
3.5Shots on target / game4.67
DurangoTapatío

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.33Shots per game12.33
DurangoTapatío
3.5Shots on target4.67
DurangoTapatío
8.1%Shot conversion15.5%
DurangoTapatío
59%Possession49%
DurangoTapatío
1.42xG for1.42
DurangoTapatío
1.31xG against1.9
DurangoTapatío

Shooting quality

Durango: BalancedTapatío: Efficient finishing
DurangoTapatío
Accuracy (shots on target)31%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Durango is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Durango · 1.2 pts / game - Tapatío

Durango
LWWWD
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Tapatío
LWLLW
Season result split
42% W17% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-5
1.42 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 2.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tapatío is 109% better for: goals scored per game.

0.92 goals / game - Durango · 1.92 goals / game - Tapatío

Durango is 82% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.92 goals / game - Durango · 1.67 goals / game - Tapatío

Durango scoring profile: strong

Durango scores in 58% of games (7 of 12 games), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 games).

Tapatío scoring profile: strong

Tapatío scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Durango keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 games).

11Goals scored (season)23
DurangoTapatío
11Goals conceded (season)20
DurangoTapatío
1.83Average goals per game3.58
DurangoTapatío
7Goals scored (last 5)11
DurangoTapatío
3Goals conceded (last 5)9
DurangoTapatío

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal83%
DurangoTapatío
17%2 goals50%
DurangoTapatío
8%3 goals33%
DurangoTapatío
8%4 goals25%
DurangoTapatío

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
DurangoTapatío
33%2 goals50%
DurangoTapatío
8%3 goals33%
DurangoTapatío
0%4 goals8%
DurangoTapatío

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time33%
DurangoTapatío
0%BTTS in both halves0%
DurangoTapatío
17%Scored in both halves33%
DurangoTapatío

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
DurangoTapatío
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
DurangoTapatío
20%BTTS - last 560%
DurangoTapatío

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
DurangoTapatío
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
DurangoTapatío
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
DurangoTapatío

2nd half

58%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
DurangoTapatío
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
DurangoTapatío
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
DurangoTapatío

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tapatío is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Durango · 1.42 pts / game - Tapatío

Durango - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing
Tapatío - half-time state
33% leading42% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.42
DurangoTapatío
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.92
DurangoTapatío
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
DurangoTapatío
0.83Average goals (1st half)1.58
DurangoTapatío
67%Clean sheet before half-time50%
DurangoTapatío
75%No goal before half-time42%
DurangoTapatío

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per game (2nd half)1.17
DurangoTapatío
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)1
DurangoTapatío
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)1
DurangoTapatío
1Average goals (2nd half)2
DurangoTapatío
83%Clean sheet after half-time42%
DurangoTapatío
50%No goal after half-time42%
DurangoTapatío

Durango - second-half results

42% W50% D8% L
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding247%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tapatío - second-half results

25% W42% D33% L
17
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Durango - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tapatío - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.20
Goals scored / game1.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game2.21.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Durango
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Durango

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
46%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

DurangoLigaTapatío
Average goals per game▼ 1.833.26▲ 3.58
Both teams scored▼ 25%59%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%61%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 50%23%▲ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%74%• 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 58%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Durango and Tapatío play?

Durango face Tapatío on October 18, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Francisco Zarco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Durango vs Tapatío?

Durango score 0.92 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.92. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Durango's matches and 67% of Tapatío's.

What form are Durango and Tapatío in?

Over the last 5 games Durango have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tapatío 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Durango vs Tapatío?

The statistical background for Durango vs Tapatío — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.