Durango vs Tapatío: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Durango vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Durango plays Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Recent form
Durango has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Tapatío has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Durango scores 0.92 goals per game and allows 0.92. Tapatío scores 1.92 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Durango's games and 67% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.42 per game. Durango takes 11.3 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Durango leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Durango's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Durango | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Durango is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Durango · 1.2 pts / game - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 109% better for: goals scored per game.
0.92 goals / game - Durango · 1.92 goals / game - Tapatío
Durango is 82% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.92 goals / game - Durango · 1.67 goals / game - Tapatío
Durango scores in 58% of games (7 of 12 games), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 games).
Tapatío scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Durango keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Durango
Over / Under - Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tapatío is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Durango · 1.42 pts / game - Tapatío
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Durango - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Durango
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Durango | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.83 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Durango and Tapatío play?
Durango face Tapatío on October 18, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Francisco Zarco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Durango vs Tapatío?
Durango score 0.92 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.92. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Durango's matches and 67% of Tapatío's.
What form are Durango and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games Durango have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tapatío 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Durango vs Tapatío?
The statistical background for Durango vs Tapatío — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


