East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: match statistics
East Kilbride is showing significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game, while Dumbarton has not won any of their last five matches (0.4 PPG). The hosts occupy the top position in the table and boast much better offensive statistics, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per home game with a higher xG rate (1.39 vs 0.99). Dumbarton has failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match this season and concedes an average of 2 goals per away game, which, combined with a 50% loss rate in away matches, represents a significant weakness. Additionally, the difference in possession (53% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (5.08 vs 3.25 shots on target) favors East Kilbride. Taking into account all statistical parameters, especially current form and goal difference, the hosts are clear favorites for this match.
East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
East Kilbride played against Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
East Kilbride has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Dumbarton has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
East Kilbride scores 2.04 goals per game and allows 1.48. Dumbarton scores 1.39 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 3.01 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of East Kilbride's games and 78% of Dumbarton's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 61%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
East Kilbride has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 0.98 per game. East Kilbride takes 9.7 shots per game, while Dumbarton takes 6.4.
First-half and second-half trends
East Kilbride leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Dumbarton leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
East Kilbride's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (16 goals). For Dumbarton, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 3.01 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride is showing significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game, while Dumbarton has not won any of their last five matches (0.4 PPG). The hosts occupy the top position in the table and boast much better offensive statistics, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per home game with a higher xG rate (1.39 vs 0.99). Dumbarton has failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match this season and concedes an average of 2 goals per away game, which, combined with a 50% loss rate in away matches, represents a significant weakness. Additionally, the difference in possession (53% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (5.08 vs 3.25 shots on target) favors East Kilbride. Taking into account all statistical parameters, especially current form and goal difference, the hosts are clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| East Kilbride | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
East Kilbride is 500% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - East Kilbride · 0.4 pts / game - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 47% better for: goals scored per game.
2.04 goals / game - East Kilbride · 1.39 goals / game - Dumbarton
East Kilbride is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.48 goals / game - East Kilbride · 1.83 goals / game - Dumbarton
East Kilbride scores in 88% of games (22 of 25 meczów), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 meczów).
Dumbarton scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - East Kilbride
Over / Under - Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / game - East Kilbride · 1.04 pts / game - Dumbarton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 52%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
East Kilbride
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| East Kilbride | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.52 | 3.01 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 19% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from East Kilbride's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Dumbarton. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished East Kilbride 3:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Dumbarton?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 0, Dumbarton won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
East Kilbride score 2.04 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.39. The League Two average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 64% of East Kilbride's matches and 78% of Dumbarton's.
What form are East Kilbride and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Dumbarton 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.