East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: match statistics
East Kilbride is showing significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game, while Dumbarton has not won any of their last five matches (0.4 PPG). The hosts occupy the top position in the table and boast much better offensive statistics, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per home game with a higher xG rate (1.39 vs 0.99). Dumbarton has failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match this season and concedes an average of 2 goals per away game, which, combined with a 50% loss rate in away matches, represents a significant weakness. Additionally, the difference in possession (53% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (5.08 vs 3.25 shots on target) favors East Kilbride. Taking into account all statistical parameters, especially current form and goal difference, the hosts are clear favorites for this match.
East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
East Kilbride play Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
East Kilbride: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Dumbarton: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
East Kilbride scores 2.14 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 1.31 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: East Kilbride 61%, Dumbarton 69%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 67%, Dumbarton 56%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.03. East Kilbride: 10.2 shots per match, Dumbarton: 7.2.
Match halves
East Kilbride: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.83. Dumbarton: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
East Kilbride: 31-45+ (21 goals). Dumbarton: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
East Kilbride is showing significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game, while Dumbarton has not won any of their last five matches (0.4 PPG). The hosts occupy the top position in the table and boast much better offensive statistics, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per home game with a higher xG rate (1.39 vs 0.99). Dumbarton has failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match this season and concedes an average of 2 goals per away game, which, combined with a 50% loss rate in away matches, represents a significant weakness. Additionally, the difference in possession (53% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (5.08 vs 3.25 shots on target) favors East Kilbride. Taking into account all statistical parameters, especially current form and goal difference, the hosts are clear favorites for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| East Kilbride | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
East Kilbride is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - East Kilbride · 0.8 pts / match - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
2.14 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.31 goals / match - Dumbarton
East Kilbride is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.67 goals / match - Dumbarton
East Kilbride scores in 89% of matches (32 of 36 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 36 matches).
Dumbarton scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — East Kilbride
Over / Under — Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1.03 pts / match - Dumbarton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
East Kilbride
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| East Kilbride | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.39 | 2.92 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): East Kilbride 1 - 1 - 1 Dumbarton. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished East Kilbride 3:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Dumbarton?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 1, Dumbarton won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
East Kilbride score 2.14 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.31. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 61% of East Kilbride's matches and 69% of Dumbarton's.
What form are East Kilbride and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Dumbarton 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.