East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City: match statistics
East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
East Kilbride played against Edinburgh City in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on April 18, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
East Kilbride has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Edinburgh City has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
East Kilbride scores 2.03 goals per game and allows 1.36. Edinburgh City scores 1.18 and allows 1.94. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of East Kilbride's games and 64% of Edinburgh City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 64%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
East Kilbride has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.19 per game. East Kilbride takes 10.0 shots per game, while Edinburgh City takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
East Kilbride leads at halftime in 55% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Edinburgh City leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
East Kilbride's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (20 goals). For Edinburgh City, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride are league leaders (1st) with a record of 18 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses; they have scored 67 and conceded 45 goals, and at home average 2.00 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Edinburgh City sit 10th with 8 wins, 10 draws and 15 losses this season, scoring 39 and conceding 64; away they average only 1.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In their last 5 matches the home side have scored 7 goals (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points), while the visitors failed to score in five matches, lost all 5 and conceded 12 goals (0 points). East Kilbride generate more high-quality chances: at home they average 5.19 shots on target and 10.38 attempts per match with a 19% conversion rate and xG 1.44, while Edinburgh City away record 3.75 shots on target, 8.13 attempts per match, 14% conversion and xG 1.06. Considering the home advantage in chance creation, higher efficiency and the visitors’ dramatically poor form over the last 5 games, I forecast an East Kilbride win: 72% home win, 18% draw and 10% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
East Kilbride has BTTS in 71% of matches this season and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Edinburgh City has 56% for the season (0% in the last 5), yielding a season-average BTTS close to 63% and leaning the indication toward both teams scoring. East Kilbride concedes an average of 2.35 goals per game, and Edinburgh City concedes 1.50, with East Kilbride scoring 67 goals this season and Edinburgh City conceding 64, so conditions for mutual scoring are present. xG and shot metrics confirm this: East Kilbride xG_for 1.31 and 4.94 shots on target, Edinburgh xG_for 1.06 and 3.75 shots on target — both teams generate around 1.0 xG and real chances. Although Edinburgh haven’t scored in the last 5 matches (0 goals with last5 xG_for 1.06), this looks more like inefficiency than a lack of chances, so against an opponent that concedes 2.35 goals on average I assess the visitors have a real chance to score. Considering season BTTS 71% vs 56%, low clean sheet percentages (6% and 19%) and the league BTTS average of 63%, I estimate BTTS probability at around 70% and recommend the “Yes” (BTTS - Yes) selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model shows East Kilbride’s attack produces 1.31 xG per game and Edinburgh City 1.06 xG; accounting for xG against (1.33 for East and 1.13 for Edinburgh) yields averaged expected goals of 1.22 for the home side and 1.19 for the visitors, totaling 2.41 goals. Seasonal metrics confirm a goal-prone tendency: East has 94% of matches over 1.5 goals, Edinburgh 75%, and BTTS occurs in 71% and 56% of their games respectively. For the 2.5 line, the home team have 76% of matches over 2.5 and the visitors 50%, and additionally in their last 5 matches Edinburgh conceded 12 goals and scored none, which increases the probability of Over 2.5. The 3.5 line is less certain — hosts have 59% of matches over 3.5, visitors 19%, and the expected 2.41 goals is materially below the 3.5 threshold, so I lean to Under 3.5 (Under ~56%). The strongest signal to play is Over 1.5, because the combination of seasonal rates 94% vs 75% and the home form (7 goals in the last 5 matches) provides the strongest statistical edge for Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT scenario is 2/2 (the away team leads at the break and wins the match). East Kilbride were trailing at half-time in 53% of their home matches and concede an average of 1.06 goals before the break, which favors the opponent taking a lead in the first half. Edinburgh City have superior seasonal metrics: 1.44 points per away match versus 0.65 points for the home side at home, and 38% away wins compared to only 12% home wins for East Kilbride. Additionally, the hosts concede on average 2.35 goals per match and 1.29 in the second half, while the visitors concede 0.75 in the second half and score an average of 1.13 goals per match — this increases the likelihood of the away team maintaining and extending their lead after the break. Although East Kilbride generate higher xG (1.31 vs 1.06) and register more shots on target (4.94 vs 3.75), their weak defense (seasonConcededAVG_home 2.35) makes the 2/2 scenario the strongest signal, with X/2 and 2/X as the main alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| East Kilbride | Edinburgh City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 72% better for: goals scored per game.
2.03 goals / game - East Kilbride · 1.18 goals / game - Edinburgh City
East Kilbride is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.36 goals / game - East Kilbride · 1.94 goals / game - Edinburgh City
East Kilbride scores in 88% of games (29 of 33 meczów), while Edinburgh City keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 meczów).
Edinburgh City scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 meczów), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - East Kilbride
Over / Under - Edinburgh City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / game - East Kilbride · 1.09 pts / game - Edinburgh City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Edinburgh City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (20 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
East Kilbride
Edinburgh City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| East Kilbride | Liga | Edinburgh City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.39 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from East Kilbride's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Edinburgh City. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City?
The League Two match finished East Kilbride 4:0 Edinburgh City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Edinburgh City?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 1, Edinburgh City won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City?
East Kilbride score 2.03 goals per game on average and Edinburgh City 1.18. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of East Kilbride's matches and 64% of Edinburgh City's.
What form are East Kilbride and Edinburgh City in?
Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Edinburgh City 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.