Scotland - League TwoData current as of September 12, 2026

East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics

145%(1.60)
X30%(3.80)
225%(4.33)

East Kilbride holds a high 2nd position in the table and displays solid home form with a 36% win rate at their own stadium. The hosts have better offensive stats, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per match at home with a higher xG (1.34 vs 0.99 of the visitors). Forfar Athletic has poor away form with only 20% of away matches won and 50% losses, which puts them at a disadvantage. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive (East Kilbride 0.8 PPG, Forfar 1.0 PPG), the hosts' advantage in possession (53% vs 48%) and better shooting stats speak in their favor. East Kilbride's goal difference in home matches is even (0), while Forfar has a negative away goal difference (-3), which further supports the prediction of a home win.

East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

East Kilbride played against Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

East Kilbride has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Forfar Athletic has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

East Kilbride scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.57. Forfar Athletic scores 1.43 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 62% of East Kilbride's games and 57% of Forfar Athletic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 57%, compared with league averages of 69% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

East Kilbride has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.12 per game. East Kilbride takes 9.3 shots per game, while Forfar Athletic takes 7.7.

First-half and second-half trends

East Kilbride leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Forfar Athletic leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.48 after halftime.

When the teams score

East Kilbride's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Forfar Athletic, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 69% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

East Kilbride holds a high 2nd position in the table and displays solid home form with a 36% win rate at their own stadium. The hosts have better offensive stats, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per match at home with a higher xG (1.34 vs 0.99 of the visitors). Forfar Athletic has poor away form with only 20% of away matches won and 50% losses, which puts them at a disadvantage. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive (East Kilbride 0.8 PPG, Forfar 1.0 PPG), the hosts' advantage in possession (53% vs 48%) and better shooting stats speak in their favor. East Kilbride's goal difference in home matches is even (0), while Forfar has a negative away goal difference (-3), which further supports the prediction of a home win.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
14Shots6
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
9Shots on target3
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
2xG0.98
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
9Corners2
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
68Dangerous attacks53
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
13Fouls17
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
1Cards2
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

East KilbrideForfar Athletic
1.71Goals scored / game1.43
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
1.57Goals allowed / game1.57
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
54%Average possession48%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
4.57Shots on target / game4
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.29Shots per game7.67
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
4.57Shots on target4
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
18.5%Shot conversion18.6%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
54%Possession48%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
1.33xG for1.12
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
1.24xG against1.24
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

Shooting quality

East Kilbride: Efficient finishingForfar Athletic: Efficient finishing
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)49%52%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Forfar Athletic is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - East Kilbride · 1 pts / game - Forfar Athletic

East Kilbride
LDWLL
Season result split
43% W24% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-7
1.52 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-4
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Forfar Athletic
LWDDL
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-9
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

East Kilbride is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1.71 goals / game - East Kilbride · 1.43 goals / game - Forfar Athletic

East Kilbride scoring profile: very strong

East Kilbride scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).

Forfar Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Forfar Athletic scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).

36Goals scored (season)30
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
33Goals conceded (season)33
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
3.29Average goals per game3
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
4Goals scored (last 5)9
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
13Goals conceded (last 5)9
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
48%2 goals33%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
29%3 goals19%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
5%4 goals19%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal76%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
48%2 goals48%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
19%3 goals24%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
5%4 goals5%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

69%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time29%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
0%BTTS in both halves19%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
19%Scored in both halves29%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
60%BTTS - last 580%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
43%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forfar Athletic is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / game - East Kilbride · 2 pts / game - Forfar Athletic

East Kilbride - half-time state
52% leading14% draw33% trailing
Forfar Athletic - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per game (1st half)2
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
1.19Goals scored (1st half)0.95
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
2.1Average goals (1st half)1.57
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
52%Clean sheet before half-time57%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
29%No goal before half-time33%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per game (2nd half)0.9
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.48
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.95
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.43
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
48%Clean sheet after half-time33%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic
67%No goal after half-time67%
East KilbrideForfar Athletic

East Kilbride - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
36
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 43%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Forfar Athletic - second-half results

19% W33% D48% L
42
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding51%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

East Kilbride - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.20
Goals scored / game0.80.0
Goals allowed / game1.41.2
Average goals per game2.21.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Forfar Athletic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

East Kilbride
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
7
6
16-30
11
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Forfar Athletic
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
8
6
16-30
9
3
31-45
3
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
2
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.14
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

East Kilbride

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Forfar Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

East KilbrideLigaForfar Athletic
Average goals per game 3.293.04 3.00
Both teams scored 62%69% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%59% 57%
Clean sheets 24%18% 24%
Goal before half-time 90%76% 81%
Goal after half-time 71%79% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.04
Average goals per game
69%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / game
1.65
Away goals / game
+-16%
Home attack advantage
+-19%
Home defensive advantage
+-9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. East KilbrideGoalJack LeitchAssist: João Baldé
  2. East KilbrideYellow cardJack Leitch
  3. East KilbrideGoalCameron Elliott
  4. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Matty AllanOff: Callum Wilson
  5. Forfar AthleticYellow cardJake Dolzanski
  6. Forfar AthleticYellow cardCraig Slater
  7. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Jamie RichardsonOff: Craig Slater
  8. East KilbrideGoalBobby McLuckieAssist: Sam Young
  9. Forfar AthleticGoalMartin RennieAssist: Scott Bright

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from East Kilbride's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Forfar Athletic. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Forfar Athletic FC
0 : 3
East Kilbride FC
East Kilbride FC
5 : 0
Forfar Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic?

The League Two match finished East Kilbride 3:1 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Forfar Athletic?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 2, Forfar Athletic won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic?

East Kilbride score 1.71 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.43. The League Two average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 62% of East Kilbride's matches and 57% of Forfar Athletic's.

What form are East Kilbride and Forfar Athletic in?

Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic?

The statistical background for East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.