Scotland - League OneK Park Training AcademyData current as of October 19, 2026

East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics

East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

East Kilbride played against Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Venue: K Park Training Academy. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

East Kilbride has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Hamilton Academical has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

East Kilbride scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 1.80. Hamilton Academical scores 2.20 and allows 0.00. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of East Kilbride's games and 0% of Hamilton Academical's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 40%, compared with league averages of 29% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.37 per game. East Kilbride takes 9.8 shots per game, while Hamilton Academical takes 10.0.

First-half and second-half trends

East Kilbride leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Hamilton Academical leads at halftime in 80% and scores 1.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

East Kilbride's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Hamilton Academical, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 29% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

East Kilbride have been impressive at home, winning both of their matches so far, scoring an average of 4.0 goals and conceding just 0.5 per game. The hosts are also creating better-quality chances, posting an xG of 1.83 compared with just 0.72 xG conceded to their opponents, while their 14 shots per match translate into 6.5 shots on target. Hamilton Academical lead the table and remain unbeaten in all 5 matches this season, but they have scored only 6 goals across their last five fixtures, compared with East Kilbride’s 11. The visitors are highly solid defensively away from home, keeping a 100% clean-sheet record and allowing an average of 0.67 xG, which makes a draw a realistic outcome. Nevertheless, home advantage, the hosts’ 29% conversion rate and their run of two consecutive home wins narrowly favor East Kilbride.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: both teams have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their league matches so far, while their season-long BTTS - Yes rates stand at 0% each. Hamilton Academical have yet to concede, with an average xG allowed of just 0.67, while East Kilbride create only 1.30 xG on average. BTTS has also appeared infrequently across the last five matches— in 40% of East Kilbride’s games and just 20% of Hamilton’s—while the visitors conceded an average of 0.8 goals. East Kilbride have been more defensively vulnerable over their last five, conceding 11 goals, but Hamilton may once again contain opponents who have failed to score in any match this season. The low league-wide BTTS rate of 28% further supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Hamilton have solid defensive foundations: they concede just 0.67 xG on average, while in their last 5 matches they have conceded only 4 goals, or 0.8 per game. East Kilbride have been more open recently, scoring and conceding an average of 2.2 goals in their five appearances, with Over 2.5 goals landing in each of those matches. At the same time, the profiles of both teams indicate that high-scoring games are not the norm: the hosts had fewer than 3.5 goals in 67% of their matches, while their average xG against is only 1.09. The visitors create an average of 1.51 xG, but against a home defense conceding just 0.78 xG, their most realistic return is around one goal. The projected total of 2.48 goals leaves a clear margin below four goals, making Under 3.5 goals the best option.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal points to Hamilton leading at the break and maintaining that advantage until the end of the match. In their last five matches, East Kilbride were trailing at half-time in 60% of cases, scoring an average of just 0.4 goals before the break and conceding 1.2, while Hamilton led in 40% of their matches and conceded only 0.4 goals in that period. The visitors also have slightly higher average xG, 1.51 compared with 1.30, as well as a clear advantage in shots on target, averaging 6.5 versus 4.0 for the hosts. Although East Kilbride have won all three of their home matches so far, their recent run has been defensively unstable, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per match. Hamilton have kept clean sheets in both of their away appearances, strengthening the 2/2 scenario despite a significant draw risk.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
9Shots9
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
4Shots on target4
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
1.33xG1.15
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
11Corners5
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
66Dangerous attacks42
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
14Fouls15
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
3Cards2
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

East KilbrideHamilton Academical
1.8Goals scored / game2.2
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
1.8Goals allowed / game0
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
55%Average possession46%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
4.4Shots on target / game5
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.8Shots per game10
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
4.4Shots on target5
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
18.4%Shot conversion22%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
55%Possession46%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
1.37xG for1.38
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
0.98xG against0.74
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

Shooting quality

East Kilbride: Efficient finishingHamilton Academical: Counter-attacking
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
Accuracy (shots on target)45%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hamilton Academical is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - East Kilbride · 2.6 pts / game - Hamilton Academical

East Kilbride
WDWLL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Hamilton Academical
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W20% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 0.74BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamilton Academical is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.8 goals / game - East Kilbride · 2.2 goals / game - Hamilton Academical

East Kilbride scoring profile: more difficult

East Kilbride scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 games), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 100% (5 of 5 games).

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: very strong

Hamilton Academical scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

9Goals scored (season)11
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
9Goals conceded (season)0
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
3.6Average goals per game2.2
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
9Goals scored (last 5)11
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
9Goals conceded (last 5)0
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal80%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%2 goals40%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%3 goals40%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
20%4 goals40%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal0%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%2 goals0%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%3 goals0%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
20%4 goals0%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

29%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
0%BTTS in both halves0%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
20%Scored in both halves40%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
60%Min. 3 goals without BTTS40%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%BTTS - last 50%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time40%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical is 160% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - East Kilbride · 2.6 pts / game - Hamilton Academical

East Kilbride - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Hamilton Academical - half-time state
80% leading20% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)2.6
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
0.6Goals scored (1st half)1
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
1.4Average goals (1st half)1
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%Clean sheet before half-time100%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
80%No goal before half-time20%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per game (2nd half)1.8
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
2.2Average goals (2nd half)1.2
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%Clean sheet after half-time100%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
40%No goal after half-time60%
East KilbrideHamilton Academical

East Kilbride - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 80% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

East Kilbride - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.42.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Hamilton Academical - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.80
Goals scored / game1.01.2
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+5+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

East Kilbride
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
20%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

East Kilbride

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.82
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
240%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
293%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

East KilbrideLigaHamilton Academical
Average goals per game▲ 3.602.33▼ 2.20
Both teams scored▲ 40%29%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%50%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 20%44%▲ 100%
Goal before half-time▲ 60%54%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%71%▼ 40%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per game
29%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
44%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / game
0.75
Away goals / game
+111%
Home attack advantage
+53%
Home defensive advantage
+33%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Hamilton AcademicalGoalAndrew RyanAssist: Steven Hendrie
  2. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardStuart McKinstry
  3. East KilbrideYellow cardLiam Fagan
  4. East KilbrideYellow cardLewis McGrattan
  5. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Kalvin OrsiOff: Dominic Thomas
  6. Hamilton AcademicalYellow cardStuart Bannigan
  7. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Steven BradleyOff: Stuart Bannigan
  8. Hamilton AcademicalSubstitutionOn: Gregor CrookstonOff: Stuart McKinstry
  9. East KilbrideYellow cardRhys Armstrong

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?

The League One match finished East Kilbride 0:1 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?

East Kilbride score 1.80 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 2.20. The League One average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of East Kilbride's matches and 0% of Hamilton Academical's.

What form are East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical in?

Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?

The statistical background for East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.