Eastleigh vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Carlisle United sits 3rd in the table and displays significantly better form than Eastleigh (15th position). The visitors hold an impressive record of 56% away wins and a positive goal difference (+2) on the road, while the hosts have recorded a negative balance (-6) at home. Carlisle averages 4.81 shots on target per away match compared to 3.69 for the hosts, indicating greater offensive efficiency. Eastleigh concedes an average of 1.81 goals in home matches, which, combined with a weak defense (only 6% clean sheets), makes them vulnerable to dropping points. The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG for Carlisle vs 1.6 for Eastleigh) and the clear qualitative advantage of the visitors argue for their victory in this encounter.
Eastleigh vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Eastleigh played against Carlisle United in National League (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Eastleigh has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Carlisle United has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Eastleigh scores 1.26 goals per game and allows 1.71. Carlisle United scores 1.82 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Eastleigh's games and 50% of Carlisle United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 59%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.31 per game. Eastleigh takes 9.3 shots per game, while Carlisle United takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Eastleigh leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Carlisle United leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Eastleigh's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Carlisle United, it is minutes 16-30 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United sits 3rd in the table and displays significantly better form than Eastleigh (15th position). The visitors hold an impressive record of 56% away wins and a positive goal difference (+2) on the road, while the hosts have recorded a negative balance (-6) at home. Carlisle averages 4.81 shots on target per away match compared to 3.69 for the hosts, indicating greater offensive efficiency. Eastleigh concedes an average of 1.81 goals in home matches, which, combined with a weak defense (only 6% clean sheets), makes them vulnerable to dropping points. The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG for Carlisle vs 1.6 for Eastleigh) and the clear qualitative advantage of the visitors argue for their victory in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Eastleigh | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carlisle United is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Eastleigh · 1.8 pts / game - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 44% better for: goals scored per game.
1.26 goals / game - Eastleigh · 1.82 goals / game - Carlisle United
Carlisle United is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Eastleigh · 1.21 goals / game - Carlisle United
Eastleigh scores in 74% of games (25 of 34 meczów), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 meczów).
Carlisle United scores in 85% of games (29 of 34 meczów), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eastleigh
Over / Under - Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Eastleigh · 1.59 pts / game - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Eastleigh
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Eastleigh | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.97 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 24% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Eastleigh's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Carlisle United. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Eastleigh 1:2 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Carlisle United?
Eastleigh score 1.26 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.82. The National League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Eastleigh's matches and 50% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Eastleigh and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Carlisle United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Carlisle United?
The statistical background for Eastleigh vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.