Eastleigh vs Rochdale: match statistics
Rochdale, as the league leader with 28 wins this season, showcases a vastly superior form compared to Eastleigh, who sits in 17th place. The visitors are characterized by impressive efficiency in away matches - a 71% win rate, 53% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference of +16, while the hosts suffer a negative home record of -6. The form over the last five games also favors Rochdale (2.6 PPG, WDWWW streak) compared to the unstable Eastleigh (1.2 PPG, LWLLW streak). xG stats reveal an advantage for the visitors (1.55 xG For vs 1.25 xG Against) over the hosts (1.37 xG For vs 1.64 xG Against), confirming the quality gap between the squads. Rochdale also dominates in ball possession (55% vs 45%) and registers more shots on target (5.18 vs 3.67), which further increases the probability of an away win.
Eastleigh vs Rochdale: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Eastleigh played against Rochdale in National League (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Eastleigh has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Rochdale has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Eastleigh scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 1.73. Rochdale scores 1.92 and allows 0.69. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Eastleigh's games and 47% of Rochdale's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 53%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rochdale has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.31 per game. Eastleigh takes 9.3 shots per game, while Rochdale takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Eastleigh leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Rochdale leads at halftime in 53% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
Eastleigh's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Rochdale, it is minutes 31-45+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rochdale, as the league leader with 28 wins this season, showcases a vastly superior form compared to Eastleigh, who sits in 17th place. The visitors are characterized by impressive efficiency in away matches - a 71% win rate, 53% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference of +16, while the hosts suffer a negative home record of -6. The form over the last five games also favors Rochdale (2.6 PPG, WDWWW streak) compared to the unstable Eastleigh (1.2 PPG, LWLLW streak). xG stats reveal an advantage for the visitors (1.55 xG For vs 1.25 xG Against) over the hosts (1.37 xG For vs 1.64 xG Against), confirming the quality gap between the squads. Rochdale also dominates in ball possession (55% vs 45%) and registers more shots on target (5.18 vs 3.67), which further increases the probability of an away win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Eastleigh | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rochdale is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Eastleigh · 2.6 pts / game - Rochdale
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rochdale is 51% better for: goals scored per game.
1.27 goals / game - Eastleigh · 1.92 goals / game - Rochdale
Rochdale is 151% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.73 goals / game - Eastleigh · 0.69 goals / game - Rochdale
Eastleigh scores in 76% of games (28 of 37 meczów), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 53% (19 of 36 meczów).
Rochdale scores in 97% of games (35 of 36 meczów), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eastleigh
Over / Under - Rochdale
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rochdale is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / game - Eastleigh · 1.97 pts / game - Rochdale
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Rochdale - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 78%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Eastleigh
Rochdale
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Eastleigh | Liga | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.00 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 23% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Eastleigh's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Rochdale. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Rochdale?
The National League match finished Eastleigh 1:3 Rochdale. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Rochdale?
Eastleigh score 1.27 goals per game on average and Rochdale 1.92. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Eastleigh's matches and 47% of Rochdale's.
What form are Eastleigh and Rochdale in?
Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rochdale 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Rochdale?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.