Eastleigh vs Sutton United: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Eastleigh sits in 18th place in the table and is in poor form with only 1 win in their last 5 matches, conceding 10 goals in the process. Sutton United (17th place) shows slightly better form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches and a higher PPG (1.4 vs 0.6). The hosts have a slight advantage in home matches (32% wins vs 21% away wins for the visitors); however, Sutton's high draw percentage away from home (32%) and the similar xG metrics of both teams (1.33 vs 1.39) suggest a closely contested match. Considering the defensive issues of both teams and their positions in the lower part of the table, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Eastleigh vs Sutton United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eastleigh play Sutton United in National League (England). The match date is 24 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Eastleigh: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sutton United: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eastleigh scores 1.24 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Sutton United scores 1.28 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eastleigh 67%, Sutton United 61%. Over 2.5: Eastleigh 57%, Sutton United 61%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Sutton United has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.32. Eastleigh: 9.3 shots per match, Sutton United: 11.2.
Match halves
Eastleigh: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.74. Sutton United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Eastleigh: 76-90+ (14 goals). Sutton United: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Eastleigh sits in 18th place in the table and is in poor form with only 1 win in their last 5 matches, conceding 10 goals in the process. Sutton United (17th place) shows slightly better form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches and a higher PPG (1.4 vs 0.6). The hosts have a slight advantage in home matches (32% wins vs 21% away wins for the visitors); however, Sutton's high draw percentage away from home (32%) and the similar xG metrics of both teams (1.33 vs 1.39) suggest a closely contested match. Considering the defensive issues of both teams and their positions in the lower part of the table, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eastleigh | Sutton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Eastleigh is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Eastleigh · 0.2 pts / match - Sutton United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Eastleigh scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Sutton United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
Sutton United scores in 72% of matches (33 of 46 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 9% (4 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Eastleigh
Over / Under — Sutton United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sutton United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Eastleigh · 1.15 pts / match - Sutton United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sutton United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eastleigh
Sutton United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Eastleigh | Liga | Sutton United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.98 | 2.92 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eastleigh 0 - 0 - 1 Sutton United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Sutton United?
The National League match finished Eastleigh 0:2 Sutton United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Sutton United?
Eastleigh score 1.24 goals per game on average and Sutton United 1.28. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Eastleigh's matches and 61% of Sutton United's.
What form are Eastleigh and Sutton United in?
Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sutton United 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Sutton United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Eastleigh vs Sutton United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.