Scotland - League TwoData current as of 16 July 2026

Edinburgh City vs Stranraer: match statistics

Edinburgh City crest
Edinburgh City
4 : 1half-time 2:1
Stranraer crest
Stranraer
125%(3.30)
X30%(3.38)
245%(2.00)

Stranraer appears to be the favorite for this encounter based on an analysis of key statistics. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table and present significantly better form with 1.6 points per match in the last five games, whereas Edinburgh City has only 0.4 points. Stranraer holds a positive goal difference on the road (+6) and has won 42% of their away matches, while the hosts have won a mere 8% of games at home and have a negative balance of -14 goals. Edinburgh City is on a disastrous home run with 54% losses and just one clean sheet this season. Stranraer is more effective in chance conversion (18% vs 13%) and concedes fewer goals away (1.08 average) than Edinburgh City does at home (2.38 average). Taking all these factors into account, a Stranraer victory is the most probable outcome, though a draw remains a viable option due to the visitors' 33% draw rate in away games.

Edinburgh City vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Edinburgh City play Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Edinburgh City: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Stranraer: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Edinburgh City scores 1.22 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Edinburgh City 58%, Stranraer 67%. Over 2.5: Edinburgh City 67%, Stranraer 47%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Stranraer has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.15. Edinburgh City: 8.8 shots per match, Stranraer: 9.6.

Match halves

Edinburgh City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56. Stranraer: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Edinburgh City: 31-45+ (11 goals). Stranraer: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Stranraer appears to be the favorite for this encounter based on an analysis of key statistics. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table and present significantly better form with 1.6 points per match in the last five games, whereas Edinburgh City has only 0.4 points. Stranraer holds a positive goal difference on the road (+6) and has won 42% of their away matches, while the hosts have won a mere 8% of games at home and have a negative balance of -14 goals. Edinburgh City is on a disastrous home run with 54% losses and just one clean sheet this season. Stranraer is more effective in chance conversion (18% vs 13%) and concedes fewer goals away (1.08 average) than Edinburgh City does at home (2.38 average). Taking all these factors into account, a Stranraer victory is the most probable outcome, though a draw remains a viable option due to the visitors' 33% draw rate in away games.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
Edinburgh CityStranraer
9Shots16
Edinburgh CityStranraer
4Shots on target6
Edinburgh CityStranraer
1.1xG1.8
Edinburgh CityStranraer
4Corners5
Edinburgh CityStranraer
34Dangerous attacks52
Edinburgh CityStranraer
8Fouls18
Edinburgh CityStranraer
2Cards6
Edinburgh CityStranraer

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Edinburgh CityStranraer
1.22Goals scored / match1.22
Edinburgh CityStranraer
2Goals conceded / match1.28
Edinburgh CityStranraer
49%Average possession50%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
4.36Shots on target / match4.67
Edinburgh CityStranraer

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.83Shots per match9.56
Edinburgh CityStranraer
4.36Shots on target4.67
Edinburgh CityStranraer
13.8%Shot conversion12.8%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
49%Possession50%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
1.15xG for1.31
Edinburgh CityStranraer
1.27xG against1.27
Edinburgh CityStranraer

Shooting quality

Edinburgh City: Efficient finishingStranraer: Balanced
Edinburgh CityStranraer
Accuracy (shots on target)49%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stranraer is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Edinburgh City · 1.6 pts / match - Stranraer

Edinburgh City
LLLLW
Season result split
25% W28% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-17
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-10
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 0.72Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 80%
Stranraer
DWLDW
Season result split
31% W33% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-12-13
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-7
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stranraer is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Edinburgh City · 1.28 goals / match - Stranraer

Edinburgh City scoring profile: very strong

Edinburgh City scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).

Stranraer scoring profile: very strong

Stranraer scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Edinburgh City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).

44Goals scored (season)44
Edinburgh CityStranraer
72Goals conceded (season)46
Edinburgh CityStranraer
3.22Average goals in match2.5
Edinburgh CityStranraer
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Edinburgh CityStranraer
13Goals conceded (last 5)4
Edinburgh CityStranraer

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal75%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
28%2 goals33%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
14%3 goals11%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
11%4 goals3%
Edinburgh CityStranraer

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal86%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
61%2 goals31%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
36%3 goals8%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
14%4 goals3%
Edinburgh CityStranraer

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time28%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
17%Scored in both halves22%
Edinburgh CityStranraer

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
0%BTTS - last 560%
Edinburgh CityStranraer

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Edinburgh CityStranraer

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Edinburgh CityStranraer

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stranraer is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Edinburgh City · 1.25 pts / match - Stranraer

Edinburgh City - half-time state
25% leading33% draw42% trailing
Stranraer - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.25
Edinburgh CityStranraer
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.69
Edinburgh CityStranraer
0.92Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
Edinburgh CityStranraer
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.28
Edinburgh CityStranraer
44%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
56%No goal before half-time53%
Edinburgh CityStranraer

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Edinburgh CityStranraer
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Edinburgh CityStranraer
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
Edinburgh CityStranraer
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.22
Edinburgh CityStranraer
42%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Edinburgh CityStranraer
61%No goal after half-time50%
Edinburgh CityStranraer

Edinburgh City - second-half results

28% W28% R44% P
39
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stranraer - second-half results

22% W44% R33% P
45
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Edinburgh City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.8
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-8
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Stranraer - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Edinburgh City
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
8
15
16-30
11
10
31-45
4
7
46-60
8
16
61-75
8
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Stranraer
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
7
2
16-30
12
13
31-45
8
6
46-60
4
9
61-75
7
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Edinburgh City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Stranraer

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Edinburgh CityLigaStranraer
Average goals in match 3.222.92 2.50
Both teams scored 58%61% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%56% 47%
Clean sheets 14%22% 14%
Goal before half-time 78%74% 69%
Goal after half-time 81%79% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Edinburgh City 1 - 1 - 1 Stranraer. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Stranraer FC
1 : 1
Edinburgh City FC
Edinburgh City FC
1 : 3
Stranraer FC
Stranraer FC
1 : 2
Edinburgh City FC

FAQ

What was the result of Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?

The League Two match finished Edinburgh City 4:1 Stranraer. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Edinburgh City and Stranraer?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Edinburgh City won 1, Stranraer won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?

Edinburgh City score 1.22 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.22. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Edinburgh City's matches and 67% of Stranraer's.

What form are Edinburgh City and Stranraer in?

Over the last 5 games Edinburgh City have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Stranraer 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?

The statistical background for Edinburgh City vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.