Egersund vs Moss: match statistics
Egersund vs Moss: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Egersund played against Moss in First Division (Norway). The game was played on July 4, 2026. Venue: Egersund Idrettsparken. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Egersund has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Moss has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Egersund scores 1.62 goals per game and allows 1.92. Moss scores 1.77 and allows 2.23. Games in this league average 3.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Egersund's games and 85% of Moss's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 85%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 73% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Moss has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.40 per game. Egersund takes 11.4 shots per game, while Moss takes 15.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Egersund leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Moss leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
Egersund's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Moss, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 3.74 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 73% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): Egersund holds a defensive edge at home, conceding on average 1.29 goals at home versus Moss’s 2.57 conceded away. The hosts score 1.57 goals per home match with xG 1.51, while Moss scores 2.00 goals on the road with xG 1.87 and averages 6.71 shots on target, indicating higher attacking quality from the visitors. Egersund’s key advantage is 43% of home matches with a clean sheet versus 0% clean sheets for Moss away; at the same time Moss less frequently finish away matches without scoring (no goal in 14% of away fixtures), whereas the hosts had 43% of home games without scoring. Recent form is poor for both sides: Egersund has 0.6 pts in the last five and only 1 win, Moss has 0.8 pts and also 1 win in their last 5. Considering the hosts’ more stable defense and the visitors’ superior attacking quality, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for Egersund.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams display very high seasonal BTTS rates: Egersund 83% and Moss 86%, while in the last 5 matches BTTS percentages are 80% for the home side and 100% for the away side, indicating a strong Goal/Goal trend. Egersund scores 1.5 and concedes 1.83 per match, whereas Moss scores 2.0 and concedes 2.57; in the last 5 fixtures the home team scored 9 and conceded 17 goals, the visitors scored 10 and conceded 14, confirming both sides are potent in attack but defensively vulnerable. Offensive xG is 1.64 for Egersund and 1.87 for Moss, with xG against at 1.73 and 1.80; additionally, on-target shots of 4.5 and 6.71 and conversion rates of 10% and 13% show scoring opportunities are created by both teams. Low clean sheet expected percentages (17% for the hosts and 0% for the visitors) alongside high rates of matches over 2.5 goals (67% and 100%) and a league-beating BTTS average of 59% increase the likelihood of BTTS - Yes. On this basis I tip BTTS = Yes at 88%, with BTTS - No at 12%, because despite the small chance of a home clean sheet (17%) or a goalless outing from the visitors (14%), the overall numbers and trends strongly support goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model indicates a total expected goals of 3.52: Egersund has xG_for 1.64 against an opponent xG_against of 1.80 → expected ~1.72 goals for the home side, while Moss has xG_for 1.87 against the home xG_against of 1.73 → expected ~1.80 for the away side. Seasonal percentages show a propensity for high-scoring games: Over 1.5 occurred in 83% of Egersund’s matches and 100% of Moss’s matches, Over 2.5 in 67%/100%, and Over 3.5 in 50%/86% respectively. Both teams frequently score in matches (both teams to score in 83% of home matches and 86% of away matches), and in the last 5 games Egersund scored 9 and conceded 17 goals (avg 1.8 scored, 3.4 conceded), while Moss scored 10 and conceded 14 (2.0/2.8). The league average is 3.71 goals per game, and offensive metrics confirm potential for many goals: shots on target 4.5 for home vs 6.71 for away and conversion 10% vs 13%. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 2.5 — high total xG=3.52, Moss’s 100% occurrence of Over 2.5 and both sides’ last 5 matches featuring Over 2.5 provide high confidence in this selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Egersund led at the break in 50% of their home matches, while Moss led away only in 14%, indicating a home advantage after 45 minutes. Moss, however, is significantly more dangerous after the break: the visitors score on average 1.29 goals in the second half versus 0.83 for Egersund, and on the road Moss scored in the second half in 100% of fixtures. Over the full match Moss averages 2.0 goals with xG 1.87, while Egersund has 1.5 goals with xG 1.64, suggesting greater attacking efficiency from the visitors. Both sides score frequently (both teams to score: 83% hosts vs 86% visitors), so a realistic scenario is Moss overturning the deficit. On that basis the strongest signal is Egersund leading at half-time and Moss winning after 90 minutes (1/2) with an assigned probability of 30%; alternatives are 1/1 (16%) and X/2 (14%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Egersund | Moss | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Moss is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Egersund · 0.8 pts / game - Moss
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Moss is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.62 goals / game - Egersund · 1.77 goals / game - Moss
Egersund is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.92 goals / game - Egersund · 2.23 goals / game - Moss
Egersund scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 meczów).
Moss scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 meczów), while Egersund keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Egersund
Over / Under - Moss
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Egersund is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Egersund · 1.15 pts / game - Moss
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Egersund - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Moss - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Egersund
Moss
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Egersund | Liga | Moss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.54 | 3.74 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▲ 85% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 85% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 21% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 77% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Egersund's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Moss. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Egersund vs Moss?
The First Division match finished Egersund 3:0 Moss. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Egersund and Moss?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Egersund won 2, Moss won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Egersund vs Moss?
Egersund score 1.62 goals per game on average and Moss 1.77. The First Division average is 3.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Egersund's matches and 85% of Moss's.
What form are Egersund and Moss in?
Over the last 5 games Egersund have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Moss 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Egersund vs Moss?
The statistical background for Egersund vs Moss — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.