El Daklyeh FC vs Pharco: match statistics

El Daklyeh FC drew 0:0 in their only home match so far, keeping a clean sheet but failing to score despite 66% possession and an average of 3 shots on target. Pharco have won both league matches, are second in the table, and have a perfect away record, averaging 1 goal scored per match. However, the visitors create chances worth only 1.04 xG while allowing opponents as much as 1.93 xG, which could give the hosts opportunities despite their low home xG of 0.61. The last five matches point to a slight form advantage for Pharco, who have collected 9 points compared with El Daklyeh’s 8, but the hosts have conceded just 1 goal during that period. The combination of El Daklyeh’s very solid defense and their struggles in front of goal suggests a low-scoring draw.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: both teams have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far, while their BTTS rate stands at 0% each. El Daklyeh have conceded an average of just 0.2 goals over their last 5 matches and have limited opponents to an xG of 0.76, while Pharco have conceded 0.6 goals per game during this period. The hosts’ attacking potential is limited, with their season-long average xG standing at just 0.69, while they have scored only 0.8 goals per match across their last five fixtures. Pharco create more chances, recording an xG of 1.06 in their last five outings, but they face a home defense that has conceded just 1 goal during this period. The league also supports a No Goal scenario for at least one side: BTTS lands in just 40% of matches, with an average of only 1.85 goals per game.

The match profile is clearly defensive: over their last 5 matches, El Daklyeh conceded an average of just 0.2 goals, while Pharco conceded 0.6. The hosts scored 0.8 goals per game during this period, compared with 1.0 for the visitors, pointing to a total closer to 1–2 goals than to an open, high-scoring game. None of El Daklyeh’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, while this occurred in only 20% of Pharco’s matches. The league-wide average is also just 1.85 goals, and 85% of matches end with at least one clean sheet. The xG from the last five matches—1.01 for the hosts and 1.06 for the visitors—provides no basis for predicting a high number of goals, making Under 3.5 the strongest selection.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as El Daklyeh were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Pharco did so in 2 of 5. Both teams play cautiously before half-time: the hosts conceded an average of 0.0 goals during this period, compared with 0.2 for the visitors, while scoring just 0.6 goals per team. In their last five matches, El Daklyeh recorded draws in 40% of cases, whereas Pharco, despite winning 60% of their games, lost as many as 40%, which limits confidence in an away win. After the break, the hosts scored an average of 0.2 goals and the visitors 0.4, while both teams had an even goal difference of 0.0 in this period. In addition, the league is clearly low-scoring, averaging 1.85 goals per match and featuring clean sheets in 85% of games; therefore, a tight, evenly matched contest remains the most likely outcome.