El Daklyeh FC vs Tersana: match statistics

El Daklyeh FC remain without a win after four matches, drawing three of them, but the biggest issue is their failure to score a single goal. At home, the hosts have recorded two 0:0 draws, kept clean sheets, and allowed opponents to create an average of just 0.37 xG. Tersana have a slightly better recent record, averaging 1.2 points across their last five matches compared with El Daklyeh’s 0.6. However, they score only 0.5 goals per away match and fail to find the net in 50% of their away fixtures. The visitors take more shots on the road, 6 compared with the hosts’ 4.5, but their average xG is only 0.94, which, combined with El Daklyeh’s highly solid defense, limits their prospects of victory. The combination of both teams’ poor finishing and the hosts’ two goalless home draws points most strongly toward another share of the points.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as El Daklyeh have failed to score in their last 5 matches, while Tersana have averaged only 0.6 goals during this period. The hosts currently have a very solid defense: their average xG conceded over the last five matches is just 0.17, with 0.8 goals conceded per game. Tersana have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, while El Daklyeh have failed to score in 50% of their appearances, clearly increasing the risk of at least one side drawing a blank. BTTS occurred in 0% of El Daklyeh’s last five matches and in 0% of Tersana’s matches throughout the season, compared with the league average of 45%. Additionally, both teams have recorded 0% of matches with over 2.5 goals, while the league average is only 2.0 goals, making a low-scoring game with at least one team failing to score the more likely outcome.

This is expected to be a very tight match: both teams average just 0.5 goals scored per game this season, while El Daklyeh concede 0.5 goals per match. In their last five appearances, the hosts have failed to score, and Tersana have managed just 0.6 goals per game. The 2.5 line has not been exceeded in 100% of either team’s matches so far, while the league average is only 2.0 goals. The defensive profile is further supported by clean-sheet rates of 50% for both sides and averages of just 2.5 and 2.0 shots on target. The strongest option is Under 3.5, as the data clearly limits the likelihood of a game featuring four or more goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at full-time, as El Daklyeh have drawn 60% of their last five matches, while Tersana have also drawn 60%. During this period, the hosts have failed to score before the break, recording a half-time draw in 80% of their matches and keeping a clean sheet in the first half on 80% of occasions. Full-season data also points to a low-scoring game: El Daklyeh average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Tersana score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goal per match. However, the hosts have stronger chance-creation metrics, with an xG of 1.43 compared with the visitors’ 0.94, so after a goalless first half, a later home win is more plausible than an away victory. Neither team has scored after the break in their last five matches, further strengthening the scenario of the draw being maintained until full-time.