El Gounah vs Haras El Hodood: match statistics
El Gounah vs Haras El Hodood: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
El Gounah played against Haras El Hodood in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The game was played on April 29, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
El Gounah has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Haras El Hodood has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
El Gounah scores 0.69 goals per game and allows 0.62. Haras El Hodood scores 0.77 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 1.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of El Gounah's games and 46% of Haras El Hodood's. The Over 2.5 rates are 12% and 42%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
El Gounah has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.11 per game. El Gounah takes 10.1 shots per game, while Haras El Hodood takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
El Gounah leads at halftime in 8% of its games and scores 0.54 goals per game after halftime. Haras El Hodood leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.31 after halftime.
When the teams score
El Gounah's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Haras El Hodood, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Egyptian Premier League games average 1.98 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Gounah are the favorites mainly due to their defense and recent form: in the last 5 matches they are 2-2-1, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.6 pts/match), while Haras El Hodood are 0-2-3 with only 0.4 pts/match, scoring 5 and conceding 9. At home El Gounah concede 0.75 goals per game versus 1.67 conceded by Haras away, and xG against is 1.08 vs 1.69, which confirms the visitors' defensive weakness. In attack the hosts create more chances: 11.33 shots per match and 2.83 on target at home with xG 1.27, whereas the visitors have 8.67 shots and xG 1.05; conversion rate is higher for the visitors (7% vs 5%) but they have fewer opportunities. Additionally El Gounah keep a clean sheet in 42% of home matches, while Haras only 17% away, so I expect a narrow, low-scoring home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 50% for El Gounah and 42% for Haras El Hodood, versus a league average of 46%, yielding a neutral to moderate BTTS signal. However, the last 5 matches show divergence: El Gounah has 0% BTTS, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (avg 0.4 scored, 0.2 conceded), while Haras has 60% BTTS with 5 scored and 9 conceded (avg 1.0 and 1.8). xG metrics indicate both teams create chances (El Gounah 1.15 season xG and 1.13 in last 5; Haras 1.05 season and 1.01 in last 5), but El Gounah converts poorly (0.93 goals seasonally and 0.4 in last 5), signaling finishing issues. Defensively Haras concedes heavily over the season (avg 1.67, 38 total), yet El Gounah has conceded only 1 goal in their last 5, which lowers the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering El Gounah’s low recent real conversion (0.4) versus Haras’s recent vulnerability (1.8 conceded in last 5) and the seasonal BTTS trends, I tip No Goal (BTTS "no") at 60% probability versus 40% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based model: El Gounah has xG_for 1.15 per match while Haras El Hodood concedes xG 1.69, yielding an estimated 1.42 expected goals for the home side. Conversely, Haras generates xG 1.05 and El Gounah concedes xG 1.46, translating to about 1.26 expected goals for the away side; total expected goals ≈ 2.68. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.68 we get P(over 1.5) ≈ 75%, P(over 2.5) ≈ 50% and P(over 3.5) ≈ 28%, which aligns with seasonal figures: El Gounah has 57% of matches >1.5, Haras 58%, while El Gounah records 50% of matches >2.5 and Haras 33%. Additionally, El Gounah averages 9.21 shots with 2.79 on target (conversion 10%), Haras 8.67 with 2.58 on target (conversion 7%), and Haras has conceded 38 goals this season, supporting a higher-scoring scenario despite seasonal average goals (0.93 and 0.58) being lower than xG. Consequently the strongest signal is over 1.5 (play: over) at about 75% probability; the 2.5 line remains balanced (~50/50), while 3.5 favors under (~72% under).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a draw at Full-Time (X/X) — I assign it a 36% probability because the home side drew at the break in 43% of matches and the away side in 42%. The second strongest signal is a draw at Half-Time and a home victory at Full-Time (X/1) with a 27% probability, justified by the fact that the home team scores on average 0.43 goals in the second half while the away team concedes on average 0.92 goals after the break. For the match outcome overall I predict a 49% chance of a Full-Time draw, 39% for a home win and 12% for an away win — these proportions are driven in part by the home team’s superior xG of 1.15 versus the visitors’ 1.05 and a higher shot conversion rate of 10% versus 7%. Additionally, the home side have a 40% win rate in their last five matches while the away side have 0%, and the away team conceded as many as 8 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 3 conceded by the home team in that period, which strengthens scenarios for a home turnaround after Half-Time. Taking into account the higher frequency of draws at the break (43%/42%) and the visitors’ poorer away form (an average of 0.42 points per away match this season versus 1.07 for hosts), I select X/X as the best pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| El Gounah | Haras El Hodood | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
El Gounah is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - El Gounah · 0.4 pts / game - Haras El Hodood
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haras El Hodood is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
0.69 goals / game - El Gounah · 0.77 goals / game - Haras El Hodood
El Gounah is 135% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.62 goals / game - El Gounah · 1.46 goals / game - Haras El Hodood
El Gounah scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Haras El Hodood keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
Haras El Hodood scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while El Gounah keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Gounah
Over / Under - Haras El Hodood
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Gounah is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - El Gounah · 0.88 pts / game - Haras El Hodood
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Gounah - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Haras El Hodood - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
El Gounah
Haras El Hodood
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| El Gounah | Liga | Haras El Hodood | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.31 | 1.98 | ▲ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 12% | 32% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 56% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from El Gounah's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Haras El Hodood. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of El Gounah vs Haras El Hodood?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished El Gounah 1:1 Haras El Hodood. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Gounah vs Haras El Hodood?
El Gounah score 0.69 goals per game on average and Haras El Hodood 0.77. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 35% of El Gounah's matches and 46% of Haras El Hodood's.
What form are El Gounah and Haras El Hodood in?
Over the last 5 games El Gounah have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Haras El Hodood 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Gounah vs Haras El Hodood?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.