Nigeria - NPFLData current as of September 13, 2026

El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United: match statistics

165%(0.00)
X25%(0.00)
210%(0.00)

El Kanemi Warriors demonstrate impressive home form with a 79% home win rate and a +16 goal difference, reflecting their dominance at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.43 goals per home game while conceding just 0.29, achieving an exceptional 79% clean sheet rate. Katsina United performs very poorly in away matches - only a 15% win rate, 62% loss rate, and a negative goal difference of -10. The visitors score an average of only 0.38 goals on the road and fail to score in 69% of their away fixtures. Considering the xG advantage (0.96 vs 1.79 for opponents) and the current form of both teams, a distinct advantage belongs to the hosts, who should confidently win this matchup.

El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

El Kanemi Warriors played against Katsina United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

El Kanemi Warriors has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Katsina United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

El Kanemi Warriors scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 1.07. Katsina United scores 0.79 and allows 0.86. Games in this league average 1.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 24% of El Kanemi Warriors's games and 29% of Katsina United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 14%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Katsina United has the higher season xG average, 1.08 to 1.07 per game. El Kanemi Warriors takes 2.4 shots per game, while Katsina United takes 3.4.

First-half and second-half trends

El Kanemi Warriors leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Katsina United leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.39 after halftime.

When the teams score

El Kanemi Warriors's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Katsina United, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 1.87 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

El Kanemi Warriors demonstrate impressive home form with a 79% home win rate and a +16 goal difference, reflecting their dominance at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.43 goals per home game while conceding just 0.29, achieving an exceptional 79% clean sheet rate. Katsina United performs very poorly in away matches - only a 15% win rate, 62% loss rate, and a negative goal difference of -10. The visitors score an average of only 0.38 goals on the road and fail to score in 69% of their away fixtures. Considering the xG advantage (0.96 vs 1.79 for opponents) and the current form of both teams, a distinct advantage belongs to the hosts, who should confidently win this matchup.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
-1Shots-1
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
-1Shots on target-1
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0xG0
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
-1Corners-1
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0Dangerous attacks0
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
-1Fouls-1
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
-1Cards-1
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.9Goals scored / game0.79
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
1.07Goals allowed / game0.86
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
18%Average possession22%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.24Shots on target / game0.93
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

2.38Shots per game3.36
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.24Shots on target0.93
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
37.7%Shot conversion23.4%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
18%Possession22%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
1.07xG for1.08
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
1.76xG against1.63
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

Shooting quality

El Kanemi Warriors: Counter-attackingKatsina United: Counter-attacking
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
Accuracy (shots on target)10%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.450.32
Finishing (goals per shot on target)3.750.85

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Katsina United is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.4 pts / game - Katsina United

El Kanemi Warriors
WLWLL
Season result split
41% W17% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-5-12
1.41 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-3-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.78Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Katsina United
WWDLL
Season result split
36% W25% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-11
1.32 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.60Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

El Kanemi Warriors is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

0.9 goals / game - El Kanemi Warriors · 0.79 goals / game - Katsina United

Katsina United is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.07 goals / game - El Kanemi Warriors · 0.86 goals / game - Katsina United

El Kanemi Warriors scoring profile: mixed

El Kanemi Warriors scores in 55% of games (16 of 29 meczów), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 meczów).

Katsina United scoring profile: mixed

Katsina United scores in 54% of games (15 of 28 meczów), while El Kanemi Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 meczów).

26Goals scored (season)22
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
31Goals conceded (season)24
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
1.97Average goals per game1.64
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
4Goals scored (last 5)4
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal54%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
28%2 goals18%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
7%3 goals7%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0%4 goals0%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

How often they concede at least...

52%1 goal64%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
34%2 goals21%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
21%3 goals0%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0%4 goals0%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

24%
El Kanemi Warriors - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 29 meczów
36%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
7%BTTS in both halves0%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
14%Scored in both halves11%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
20%BTTS - last 520%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time46%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

2nd half

48%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Katsina United is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / game - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.43 pts / game - Katsina United

El Kanemi Warriors - half-time state
24% leading45% draw31% trailing
Katsina United - half-time state
25% leading68% draw7% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per game (1st half)1.43
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.39
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.21
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.9Average goals (1st half)0.61
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
55%Clean sheet before half-time79%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
69%No goal before half-time61%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)0.89
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
0.93Average goals (2nd half)1.04
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
66%Clean sheet after half-time46%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United
69%No goal after half-time75%
El Kanemi WarriorsKatsina United

El Kanemi Warriors - second-half results

17% W55% D28% L
34
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Katsina United - second-half results

18% W36% D46% L
40
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

El Kanemi Warriors - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Katsina United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

El Kanemi Warriors
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
2
3
16-30
7
8
31-45
4
7
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Katsina United
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
6
4
46-60
1
11
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.81
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
27%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
21%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

El Kanemi Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
195%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Katsina United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

El Kanemi WarriorsLigaKatsina United
Average goals per game 1.971.87 1.64
Both teams scored 24%36% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%28% 14%
Clean sheets 48%38% 36%
Goal before half-time 62%61% 46%
Goal after half-time 48%61% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.87
Average goals per game
36%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
0.55
Away goals / game
+140%
Home attack advantage
+58%
Home defensive advantage
+48%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

Away team

Other recorded players

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Katsina UnitedAssistUche Collins
  2. El Kanemi WarriorsGoalDaddy Abdulrahman

Head-to-head

Record from El Kanemi Warriors's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Katsina United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Katsina United
1 : 0
El Kanemi Warriors

FAQ

What was the result of El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United?

The NPFL match finished El Kanemi Warriors 1:1 Katsina United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United?

El Kanemi Warriors score 0.90 goals per game on average and Katsina United 0.79. The NPFL average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 24% of El Kanemi Warriors's matches and 29% of Katsina United's.

What form are El Kanemi Warriors and Katsina United in?

Over the last 5 games El Kanemi Warriors have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Katsina United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.