Nigeria - NPFLData current as of September 13, 2026

El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars: match statistics

El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

El Kanemi Warriors played against Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

El Kanemi Warriors has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Shooting Stars has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

El Kanemi Warriors scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 1.12. Shooting Stars scores 1.03 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 1.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 26% of El Kanemi Warriors's games and 38% of Shooting Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 32%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Shooting Stars has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.07 per game. El Kanemi Warriors takes 1.9 shots per game, while Shooting Stars takes 7.1.

First-half and second-half trends

El Kanemi Warriors leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Shooting Stars leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

El Kanemi Warriors's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Shooting Stars, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NPFL games average 1.93 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

El Kanemi Warriors have a strong home record: 71% wins and 71% clean sheets, averaging 1.35 goals scored and only 0.35 conceded per home match. Shooting Stars sit higher in the table (5th vs 10th) and have 15 wins and 35 goals this season, but are poor away — averaging only 0.35 goals per away match and failing to score in 71% of away fixtures. The visitors generate xG 1.13 on the road with xG against 1.57 and concede on average 1.41 goals away, indicating lower quality of chance creation in away games. Conversely, the hosts’ last 5 matches show 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with a goal record of 3-7 (PPG 1.0), so form is unstable. Considering the hosts’ defensive strength at home and Shooting Stars’ very low away efficiency, I assess probabilities as 60% for the home team, 25% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The home side averages 1.71 goals scored and concedes 0.71 at home, keeping a clean sheet in 41% of home matches; Shooting Stars score just 0.35 goals on average and failed to score in 71% of their season appearances. Seasonal BTTS rate is 53% for El Kanemi and only 24% for Shooting Stars, while the league BTTS average is 36%, indicating a strong asymmetry in odds. Guests have a shot conversion of 4% versus 14% for the hosts, with xG of 1.53 for El Kanemi and 1.13 for Shooting Stars and xG against the visitors 1.57 — meaning Shooting Stars create fewer expected chances than anticipated and finish poorly. In the last 5 matches both teams show 40% BTTS and the visitors average 1.2 goals, but the seasonal indicators (0.35 goals and 71% of games without a goal for the visitors) carry more weight, so I assign 26% to BTTS (BTTS - Yes) and 74% to No Goal, recommending No.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The model based on xG and defensive parameters yields 1.55 xG for El Kanemi and 0.95 xG for Shooting Stars, totaling 2.50 expected goals. According to a Poisson distribution this translates to roughly a 71% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~46% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~24% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Team metrics support this signal: El Kanemi at home scores on average 1.71 goals with xG 1.53, registers 3.77 shots on target and a finishing rate of 14%, while Shooting Stars away average 0.35 goals with xG 1.13 and a 4% finishing rate. Seasonal percentages also favor Over 1.5 (home teams 65% Over 1.5 at home vs away teams 53%), whereas Over 2.5 is less certain (home 47% vs away 18%), therefore the strongest and most reliable pick is the Over line at 1.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

El Kanemi Warriors are clear favorites: at home they win 76% of matches and lead at the break in 59% of games, with an average of 0.88 goals by half-time versus 0.18 scored by Shooting Stars. The visitors average just 0.35 goals per match with a 4% conversion rate, which reduces their chances of mounting a turnaround after the break. xG confirms the hosts' advantage: home xG 1.53 versus away 1.13, while the hosts concede an xG against of 0.76 compared to 1.57 for Shooting Stars, indicating better defense and more clear chances for the home side. Additionally, the hosts score on average 0.82 goals in the second half versus just 0.18 for the visitors, so the scenario of leading at the break and winning at full-time (HT/FT 1/1) is the strongest; I assign this scenario a 49% probability.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

-1Possession (%)-1
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
-1Shots-1
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
-1Shots on target-1
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0xG0
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
-1Corners-1
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0Dangerous attacks0
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
-1Fouls-1
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
-1Cards-1
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.85Goals scored / game1.03
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
1.12Goals allowed / game1.06
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
15%Average possession36%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.06Shots on target / game2.06
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

1.88Shots per game7.09
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.06Shots on target2.06
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
45.3%Shot conversion14.5%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
15%Possession36%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
1.07xG for1.32
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
1.76xG against1.18
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

Shooting quality

El Kanemi Warriors: Counter-attackingShooting Stars: Counter-attacking
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
Accuracy (shots on target)3%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.570.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)14.170.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Shooting Stars is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.4 pts / game - Shooting Stars

El Kanemi Warriors
DLDLW
Season result split
38% W21% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-14
1.35 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-5-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Shooting Stars
WLWLD
Season result split
44% W18% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-6-13
1.50 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-12
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 0.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Shooting Stars is 21% better for: goals scored per game.

0.85 goals / game - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.03 goals / game - Shooting Stars

Shooting Stars is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.12 goals / game - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.06 goals / game - Shooting Stars

El Kanemi Warriors scoring profile: strong

El Kanemi Warriors scores in 56% of games (19 of 34 meczów), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 meczów).

Shooting Stars scoring profile: mixed

Shooting Stars scores in 59% of games (20 of 34 meczów), while El Kanemi Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 meczów).

29Goals scored (season)35
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
38Goals conceded (season)36
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
1.97Average goals per game2.09
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
3Goals scored (last 5)6
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal59%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
24%2 goals29%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
6%3 goals12%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0%4 goals3%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal74%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
35%2 goals24%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
21%3 goals6%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0%4 goals3%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

26%
El Kanemi Warriors - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 34 meczów
37%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
6%BTTS in both halves6%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
12%Scored in both halves24%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
40%BTTS - last 540%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shooting Stars is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / game - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.35 pts / game - Shooting Stars

El Kanemi Warriors - half-time state
21% leading47% draw32% trailing
Shooting Stars - half-time state
32% leading38% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per game (1st half)1.35
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.53
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.03
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
50%Clean sheet before half-time56%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
68%No goal before half-time56%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per game (2nd half)1.15
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.35Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
0.88Average goals (2nd half)1.06
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
65%Clean sheet after half-time50%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars
71%No goal after half-time62%
El Kanemi WarriorsShooting Stars

El Kanemi Warriors - second-half results

18% W53% D29% L
37
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Shooting Stars - second-half results

21% W53% D26% L
46
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

El Kanemi Warriors - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.00
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Shooting Stars - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

El Kanemi Warriors
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
8
12
31-45
4
7
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Shooting Stars
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
6
7
16-30
5
5
31-45
2
5
46-60
4
7
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.03
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

El Kanemi Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
204%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Shooting Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
187%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

El Kanemi WarriorsLigaShooting Stars
Average goals per game 1.971.93 2.09
Both teams scored 26%37% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%30% 32%
Clean sheets 44%38% 26%
Goal before half-time 65%59% 71%
Goal after half-time 50%62% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.93
Average goals per game
37%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / game
0.55
Away goals / game
+151%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defensive advantage
+50%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. El Kanemi WarriorsGoalJohn Zakka
  2. Shooting StarsGoalQamar Adegoke
  3. Shooting StarsGoalQamar Adegoke

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from El Kanemi Warriors's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Shooting Stars. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars?

The NPFL match finished El Kanemi Warriors 1:2 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars?

El Kanemi Warriors score 0.85 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.03. The NPFL average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 26% of El Kanemi Warriors's matches and 38% of Shooting Stars's.

What form are El Kanemi Warriors and Shooting Stars in?

Over the last 5 games El Kanemi Warriors have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shooting Stars 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars?

The statistical background for El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.