El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC: match statistics
El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
El Paso Locomotive played against Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
El Paso Locomotive has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Orange County SC has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
El Paso Locomotive scores 1.70 goals per game and allows 1.30. Orange County SC scores 1.33 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of El Paso Locomotive's games and 59% of Orange County SC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 44%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
El Paso Locomotive has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.18 per game. El Paso Locomotive takes 12.6 shots per game, while Orange County SC takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
El Paso Locomotive leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Orange County SC leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.85 after halftime.
When the teams score
El Paso Locomotive's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). For Orange County SC, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Paso Locomotive are the favorites: they sit 3rd in the table and have recorded 3 wins and scored 11 goals in their last five matches; 11th-placed Orange County SC have won once and scored 3 goals over the same period. At home, the hosts average 1.75 goals and 5.58 shots on target per match, while the visitors average 1.62 goals and 3.62 shots on target away from home. The gap in the quality of chances created is reflected in the average xG: 1.65 for the hosts compared with 1.19 for the visitors. Orange County’s defense could struggle, as away from home they allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.91 and concede 1.69 goals per match. A draw remains a significant possibility, having featured in 46% of the visitors’ away matches, but current scoring form and momentum favor an El Paso win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 77% of Orange County SC’s matches, and the team failed to score in just 8% of them, which points to an away goal. El Paso’s season BTTS rate is 43%, but both teams scored in each of its last 5 matches. The hosts have recently averaged 2.2 goals per game, while Orange County have conceded 2.2, so an El Paso goal also looks likely. Caution is warranted given the visitors’ attacking form: they have averaged just 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches, while El Paso have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their league games this season. Despite that risk, the visitors’ season scoring record and the hosts’ recent results give a slight edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 71% of El Paso’s matches and 85% of Orange County’s, supporting Over 1.5 goals. The visitors concede an average of 1.69 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in only 15% of games, giving the hosts a clear chance to score. Orange County, meanwhile, score an average of 1.62 goals, while El Paso concede 1.43. However, the visitors’ recent dip in scoring—0.6 goals per match across their last five appearances—limits confidence in higher goal lines. A 2.75-goal forecast supports Over 1.5, while the gap between the teams at the 2.5 line—36% and 54% of matches featuring at least 3 goals—makes it a less convincing pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Orange County have lost 3 of their 5 and scored just 0.6 goals. The home side led at the break in 2 of those 5 matches and were never trailing, while the visitors went into half-time behind in 2 of 5. Over this period, El Paso averaged 1.6 first-half goals compared with Orange County’s mere 0.2, strengthening the case for an early lead. The visitors’ recent average of 2.2 goals conceded and the home side’s tally of 2.0 points per game compared with their opponents’ 0.8 also support El Paso holding on to their advantage. The risk of a draw remains significant, as Orange County have drawn 46% of their matches this season; however, the teams’ current form most strongly points to El Paso leading at the break and winning at full time (HT/FT: 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| El Paso Locomotive | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
El Paso Locomotive is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive · 0.8 pts / game - Orange County SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.7 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.33 goals / game - Orange County SC
El Paso Locomotive is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.56 goals / game - Orange County SC
El Paso Locomotive scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 games), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 games).
Orange County SC scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 games), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
Over / Under - Orange County SC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.15 pts / game - Orange County SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
El Paso Locomotive
Orange County SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| El Paso Locomotive | Liga | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.71 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from El Paso Locomotive's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses against Orange County SC. Games average 1.60 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?
The USL Championship match finished El Paso Locomotive 2:1 Orange County SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and Orange County SC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 1, Orange County SC won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?
El Paso Locomotive score 1.70 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.33. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 59% of Orange County SC's.
What form are El Paso Locomotive and Orange County SC in?
Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Orange County SC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.