El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
El Paso Locomotive played against Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on June 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
El Paso Locomotive has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Phoenix Rising has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
El Paso Locomotive scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.91. Phoenix Rising scores 1.25 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 82% of El Paso Locomotive's games and 42% of Phoenix Rising's. The Over 2.5 rates are 91% and 42%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Phoenix Rising has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.41 per game. El Paso Locomotive takes 12.1 shots per game, while Phoenix Rising takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
El Paso Locomotive leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Phoenix Rising leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
El Paso Locomotive's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Phoenix Rising, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (2) because El Paso concedes an average of 3.0 goals per home match with 0% clean sheets, while Phoenix concede 1.33 on the road with 33% clean sheets. El Paso creates more chances at home: 13.2 shots and 5.0 on target per match, with xG 1.52 and an average of 1.8 goals scored, whereas Phoenix away register 9.5 shots, 3.0 on target, xG 1.17 and 1.0 goals per match. The decisive factor is defensive outcomes: El Paso concedes significantly more than their xG against suggests (3.0 goals conceded vs xGAgainst 1.46), indicating susceptibility to errors and goal leakage. In the last 5 matches El Paso scored 6 and conceded 9 (1W-1D-3L), while Phoenix scored 4 and conceded 10 (2W-0D-3L), which corresponds to approximately 0.8 points per match for the home side versus 1.2 for the away side. Therefore I expect an open, high-scoring affair with a slight edge to Phoenix, who are more defensively stable on the road.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "both teams to score" scenario. The league records BTTS in 55% of matches; seasonally El Paso have BTTS 50% and Phoenix 33%. In the last 5 matches the home side recorded BTTS in 80% of games, while the visitors only 20%, but both teams conceded many goals in those 5 fixtures: El Paso conceded on average 1.8 goals per game, Phoenix 2.0. El Paso create more chances and have higher season xG: xG 1.78 versus 1.17 for Phoenix, plus 6.17 shots on target versus 3.0, and score 1.5 goals per game versus 1.0 for their opponents, which increases the likelihood the hosts will score. Phoenix had a high xG of 1.81 in the last 5 despite only 0.8 goals scored, suggesting inefficiency and potential for improvement; with a defense conceding 2.0 goals per game there is a realistic chance they will find the net. Considering 55% BTTS in the league, 80% of recent home games with BTTS and the visitors' defensive weakness, I estimate BTTS probability at about 65% for 'Yes' and 35% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total goal count of around 2.72, with expected xG: home 1.53 (average of El Paso’s 1.78 offensive xG and Phoenix’s 1.28 defensive xG) and away 1.19 (average of Phoenix’s 1.17 offensive xG and El Paso’s 1.21 defensive xG). Both teams have very high percentages of matches over 1.5 goals: El Paso 100% and Phoenix 83%, so I assign a 92% probability to Over 1.5 and only 8% to Under. The 2.5 line is more balanced: season-long Over 2.5 rates are 33% for the home side and 50% for the away, but the last 5 matches show 60% Over for both, and the combined xG 2.72 slightly favors Over; therefore I rate Over 2.5 at 56% vs 44% Under. Over 3.5 is unlikely: season Over 3.5 is 17% for El Paso and 0% for Phoenix, and the total xG 2.72 implies a low chance — I assign 15% to Over 3.5 and 85% to Under. The strongest signal is Over 1.5, so I recommend backing Over at the 1.5 line as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso led at half-time in 3 of their home matches so far (50%), while Phoenix led only once (17%); hosts average 0.67 goals in the first half versus 0.17 for visitors. Additionally, El Paso has the higher xG (1.78 vs 1.17) and attempts significantly more shots and shots on target (15.0 and 6.17 versus 9.5 and 3.0), translating into better goalscoring opportunities. Phoenix concedes on average 1.0 goals by the break and has a lower points-per-game average (1.17 versus El Paso’s 1.5), so they are less likely to engineer a turnaround after half-time. Although El Paso records many draws this season (50% draws), the combination of first-half statistical advantage and higher xG favors a scenario where the hosts lead at the break and win the match (1/1). For that reason the 1/1 scenario receives the highest probability at 30%, with meaningful support for 1/X (15%) and X/X (12%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| El Paso Locomotive | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Phoenix Rising is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.4 pts / game - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.25 goals / game - Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.91 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.17 goals / game - Phoenix Rising
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of games (11 of 11 meczów), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 meczów).
Phoenix Rising scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.25 pts / game - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
El Paso Locomotive
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| El Paso Locomotive | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.91 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 91% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from El Paso Locomotive's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses against Phoenix Rising. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished El Paso Locomotive 1:1 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 0, Phoenix Rising won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
El Paso Locomotive score 2.00 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.25. The USL Championship average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 82% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 42% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.