El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks: match statistics
El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
El Paso Locomotive played against Tulsa Roughnecks in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on April 30, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
El Paso Locomotive has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Tulsa Roughnecks has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
El Paso Locomotive scores 2.67 goals per game and allows 1.33. Tulsa Roughnecks scores 0.83 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of El Paso Locomotive's games and 50% of Tulsa Roughnecks's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 17%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.53 per game. El Paso Locomotive takes 12.7 shots per game, while Tulsa Roughnecks takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
El Paso Locomotive leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Tulsa Roughnecks leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
El Paso Locomotive's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Tulsa Roughnecks, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Paso holds a clear advantage on paper and in the table (5th vs 19th Tulsa): at home they average 2.33 goals per game (16 goals this season) and have scored 12 goals in the last five matches, while Tulsa has only 3 goals in their last five and averages 0.5 goals on the road. The hosts register 14.67 shots per game with 6.67 on target at home and a conversion rate of 16%, whereas the visitors average about 16 shots on the road but only 5.5 on target and a mere 3% conversion, which clearly highlights Tulsa’s finishing issues. Differences in chance quality are confirmed by xG: El Paso records 1.72 xG in home matches versus Tulsa’s 1.87 xG away, meaning Tulsa creates decent chances but converts them too rarely (0.5 goals on average from 1.87 xG); additionally Tulsa fail to score in half of their away games (50% shutout rate against), while El Paso does not have this problem (0% home matches without a goal). Defensively both teams are vulnerable — El Paso concedes 2.33 goals per home game on average and let in 10 goals in the last 5 matches, and Tulsa concedes 1.5 goals on the road and 7 in their last five; absence of clean sheets on both sides and a high average goal count in El Paso’s home matches (4.67) suggest an open, high-scoring game. Given the hosts’ markedly better finishing, El Paso’s lack of scoreless home games and form (1.8 points per game in the last five vs Tulsa’s 1.0), I predict an El Paso win; probabilities estimated at approximately 70% home, 18% draw and 12% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - Yes at 70% vs 30%. In the last 5 matches El Paso had BTTS in 80% (4/5) and Tulsa in 40% (2/5), while season-to-date both teams sit at 50% BTTS and the league average is 52%. Tulsa has kept 0 clean sheets this season (0% CS) and concedes 1.5 goals per game seasonally and 1.4 over the last 5, whereas El Paso has scored 12 goals in the last 5 (2.4 per game) and averages 1.0 goals per game on the season. xG indicates Tulsa generates 1.87 xG per game versus 1.05 xG against El Paso, and Tulsa’s shot volume of 16.0 with 5.5 on target compared to El Paso’s 11.75 and 3.25 suggests realistic scoring opportunities despite Tulsa’s low conversion rate of 3% (vs 9% El Paso). Overall, Tulsa’s xG creation, lack of clean sheets and El Paso’s recent scoring form (12 goals/5) support a Both Teams To Score outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model gives expected_goals_home = 1.24 (average of El Paso attack xG 1.36 and Tulsa defense xG 1.11) and expected_goals_away = 1.46 (average of Tulsa attack xG 1.87 and El Paso defense xG 1.05), totaling 2.70 goals. El Paso have averaged 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches (12 goals in 5) and have 100% of matches Over 2.5 in that period, while Tulsa have scored 3 goals in their last 5 (0.6 per match) with only 20% Over 2.5, indicating an asymmetry that increases result volatility. Tulsa generate many shots (16.0 avg and 5.5 on target) and a season xG of 1.87, but have a low conversion rate of 3% and only 5 away goals this season, so creation is high but finishing is limited. Given the total xG = 2.70 and the league average 2.6, the 2.5 line looks optimal; therefore I back Over 2.5 with an estimated probability of 62%. I rate Over 1.5 at 86% due to season Over 1.5 rates of 50%/100% for home and away and El Paso’s recent form, while Over 3.5 is unlikely (28%) given season Over 3.5 rates of 25%/0%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw followed by an El Paso victory (X/1): the home side have been level at the break in 100% of their seasonal matches (4 of 4) and average 1.0 goals per match versus 0.5 for Tulsa. El Paso shows better form — 60% wins in the last 5 matches (last5_winPercentage_overall_home = 60.0) versus 20% for Tulsa (last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 20.0) and Tulsa have a 0% win rate this season away (winPercentage_away = 0.0). The visitors generate more xG and shots (xG 1.87 vs 1.36; xg_for_avg_away = 1.87 vs xg_for_avg_home = 1.36; on average 16.0 shots and 5.5 on target vs 11.75 and 3.25 for the home side), but their conversion is low (3.0% vs 9.0% for El Paso), translating into only 0.5 goals per game. El Paso frequently score after the break — second-half goals average 1.5 (AVG_2hg_home = 1.5) and 75% of matches have at least one second-half goal (over05_2hg_percentage_home = 75.0), so a Half-Time draw with a turnaround to a home lead in the second half is logical. In my projection the combined chance of a Half-Time draw is 78% (sum of X/* scenarios in the distribution), and individually X/1 has the highest probability, which is why the X/1 pick is the strongest signal given the low probability of an away win (winPercentage_away = 0.0).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| El Paso Locomotive | Tulsa Roughnecks | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
El Paso Locomotive is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.2 pts / game - Tulsa Roughnecks
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 222% better for: goals scored per game.
2.67 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive · 0.83 goals / game - Tulsa Roughnecks
Tulsa Roughnecks is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - El Paso Locomotive · 1.17 goals / game - Tulsa Roughnecks
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Tulsa Roughnecks keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
Tulsa Roughnecks scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
Over / Under - Tulsa Roughnecks
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 161% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / game - El Paso Locomotive · 0.83 pts / game - Tulsa Roughnecks
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tulsa Roughnecks - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
El Paso Locomotive
Tulsa Roughnecks
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| El Paso Locomotive | Liga | Tulsa Roughnecks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 51% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 64% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from El Paso Locomotive's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Tulsa Roughnecks. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks?
The USL Championship match finished El Paso Locomotive 1:4 Tulsa Roughnecks. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and Tulsa Roughnecks?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 1, Tulsa Roughnecks won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks?
El Paso Locomotive score 2.67 goals per game on average and Tulsa Roughnecks 0.83. The USL Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 50% of Tulsa Roughnecks's.
What form are El Paso Locomotive and Tulsa Roughnecks in?
Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Tulsa Roughnecks 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for El Paso Locomotive vs Tulsa Roughnecks: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.