El Seka El Hadid vs Tersana: match statistics

El Seka El Hadid sit 7th, while Tersana are only 20th, but recent results do not give the hosts a clear advantage. In their previous five matches, El Seka scored just 3 goals and conceded 8, recording 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Tersana, meanwhile, remain unbeaten in a five-match run, with 1 win and as many as 4 draws, while scoring 7 goals and conceding 5. The visitors averaged 1.4 points per match during this run compared with the hosts’ 1.0, but their high number of draws suggests a limited ability to turn evenly matched games in their favor. El Seka’s weaker defense and Tersana’s stability point towards a share of the spoils.

Seasonal data is unavailable, so the last 5 matches carry the greatest weight. During this period, El Seka El Hadid scored just 0.6 goals per game. The home side found the net only 3 times in total, despite averaging 1.18 xG, indicating clearly poor finishing. Tersana have shown better attacking form, scoring 1.4 goals per game, while El Seka El Hadid conceded an average of 1.6 goals, giving the visitors a realistic chance of scoring. BTTS in the last five matches stood at 40% for the home side compared with 80% for the visitors. However, El Seka’s low attacking output is the stronger argument for BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team fails to score. Therefore, the BTTS - Yes scenario is not more likely, mainly due to the risk of another scoreless performance from the hosts.

The available data from the last 5 matches indicate an average of 2.2 goals in El Seka El Hadid fixtures and 2.4 goals in Tersana matches, setting the expected total close to 2.25. The hosts scored only 0.6 goals per game during this period, while their opponents conceded an average of 1.0; meanwhile, Tersana scored 1.4 goals, with El Seka El Hadid conceding 1.6. The xG figures remain moderate: 1.18 for the hosts and 0.97 for the visitors, while the average expected goals conceded by these teams stand at 0.94 and 1.26, respectively. Although 3 of the hosts’ last 5 matches went Over 2.5 goals, there is insufficient evidence to support a four-goal outcome, making Under 3.5 the strongest value pick.

The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at full-time, as Tersana drew 80% of their last five matches, while El Seka El Hadid drew 40%. The visitors were level at the break in four of their last five games, compared with two out of five for the hosts, clearly supporting a cautious start. However, Tersana have a first-half quality advantage: they averaged 1.2 goals in the opening half, compared with 0.4 for El Seka, meaning the HT/FT draw/away win (X/2) remains the second significant risk. After the break, both teams averaged just 0.2 goals, while the visitors kept a clean sheet in 60% of those second halves, limiting the likelihood of a decisive turnaround.