Elana Toruń vs Wda Świecie: match statistics

Wda Świecie remain unbeaten throughout the season, collecting 14 points from 6 matches with 4 wins and 2 draws, while also winning four of their last five fixtures. Elana Toruń, meanwhile, have suffered three defeats in their last five matches and conceded as many as 14 goals during that span—2.8 per game. The hosts create plenty at home, averaging 2.16 xG and 20.67 shots per match, but are yet to record a home win, drawing 2 of their 3 fixtures. The away side’s defensive record could prove decisive: Wda concede just 0.67 goals per game on the road, whereas Elana allow opponents 2 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors are not particularly prolific away from home, so a draw remains a realistic outcome; however, their considerably more consistent form points towards a Wda win.

Elana Toruń have seen BTTS in 100% of their matches so far, while the figure for Wda Świecie stands at 67%, against a league average of 72%. The trend across the last five fixtures also points towards goals from both sides: the BTTS rate is 100% for Elana and 80% for Wda. The hosts have conceded as many as 2.8 goals per game during this run, while Wda have averaged 2.0 goals scored and generated an xG of 1.40. Elana should also find the net, as they average 2.67 goals at home, while Wda’s defense allows an average xG of 1.58. Although Wda have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their matches, the combination of Elana’s defensive weakness and the hosts’ high attacking efficiency points more strongly towards BTTS - Yes.

Elana score an average of 2.67 goals in home matches and have not failed to score in any game, although Wda concede only 0.67 goals per match away from home. However, the hosts are clearly vulnerable defensively, allowing opponents an average of 1.33 goals at home, while conceding as many as 2.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches overall. The current form of both teams further supports a goal-heavy scenario: Elana’s last 5 matches finished Over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases, compared with 60% for Wda, while both teams scored in 100% and 80% of those matches, respectively. The xG model projects approximately 1.60 goals for Elana and 1.20 for Wda, giving a total of 2.80, which is why the safest option is Over 1.5 goals.

Wda Świecie are showing significantly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Elana have won only once and conceded as many as 2.8 goals per match. The visitors are particularly strong after half-time, averaging 1.4 goals scored in the second half across their last five matches, while the hosts conceded 1.6 goals during that period. Wda held a lead at the break in 40% of their recent matches, while Elana were also trailing at half-time in 40% of theirs, which strengthens the case for the visitors to gain an advantage already in the first half. Elana’s home-season numbers are strong, with 3 wins from 3 and an average of 2.67 goals scored, but their recent run, combined with Wda’s defensive and overall form advantage, points towards an away win both at half-time and at full-time. An additional argument is xG: the hosts allow an average of 1.15 xG, while Wda have consistently backed up their attacking efficiency with results in their last five appearances.