Elgin City vs East Kilbride: match statistics
East Kilbride presents decidedly better form and table position (2nd place) compared to Elgin City (10th place). The visitors have an impressive away record with 58% of matches won and an average of 2 goals per match, while the hosts win only 40% of meetings at home. The form of the last five matches also speaks for East Kilbride (3 victories, 1.8 points per match) in contrast to Elgin City (1 victory, 1.2 points per match). Additionally, East Kilbride has a better goal difference away (+7) than Elgin City at home (+3), which with similar xG values indicates greater efficiency for the visitors. Despite the possession advantage for both teams on their respective pitches, East Kilbride is better able to utilize their chances, confirmed by a higher shot conversion (22% vs 19%).
Elgin City vs East Kilbride: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elgin City play East Kilbride in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 17 February 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:6.
Current form
Elgin City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. East Kilbride: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elgin City scores 1.42 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. East Kilbride scores 2.14 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elgin City 58%, East Kilbride 61%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 56%, East Kilbride 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.27. Elgin City: 9.5 shots per match, East Kilbride: 10.2.
Match halves
Elgin City: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.86. East Kilbride: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Elgin City: 61-75 (11 goals). East Kilbride: 31-45+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 0%.
Match description
East Kilbride presents decidedly better form and table position (2nd place) compared to Elgin City (10th place). The visitors have an impressive away record with 58% of matches won and an average of 2 goals per match, while the hosts win only 40% of meetings at home. The form of the last five matches also speaks for East Kilbride (3 victories, 1.8 points per match) in contrast to Elgin City (1 victory, 1.2 points per match). Additionally, East Kilbride has a better goal difference away (+7) than Elgin City at home (+3), which with similar xG values indicates greater efficiency for the visitors. Despite the possession advantage for both teams on their respective pitches, East Kilbride is better able to utilize their chances, confirmed by a higher shot conversion (22% vs 19%).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
East Kilbride is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Elgin City · 2.4 pts / match - East Kilbride
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Elgin City · 2.14 goals / match - East Kilbride
East Kilbride is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.25 goals / match - East Kilbride
Elgin City scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
East Kilbride scores in 89% of matches (32 of 36 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Elgin City
Over / Under — East Kilbride
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.92 pts / match - East Kilbride
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elgin City
East Kilbride
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.94 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 22% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Elgin City 0 - 0 - 3 East Kilbride. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs East Kilbride?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 1:6 East Kilbride. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and East Kilbride?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 0, East Kilbride won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs East Kilbride?
Elgin City score 1.42 goals per game on average and East Kilbride 2.14. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Elgin City's matches and 61% of East Kilbride's.
What form are Elgin City and East Kilbride in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and East Kilbride 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs East Kilbride?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Elgin City vs East Kilbride: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.