Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics
Elgin City displays solid home form with a 43% win rate and an impressive +2 goal difference at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.71 goals per match. The hosts have better offensive efficiency in home matches (conversion rate 19% vs 16% for the visitors) and a higher average xG (1.27 vs 1.07). Forfar Athletic has poor away results with only a 21% win rate and a high loss rate of 50%, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per away match. The recent form of both teams is balanced (Elgin 1.4 PPG vs Forfar 1.2 PPG), however, the home advantage of the hosts and Forfar's weakness away from home suggest a win for Elgin City. Considering the relatively balanced overall record of both teams in the league, there is also a real chance of a draw, hence a moderate probability of this outcome.
Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elgin City play Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 24 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Elgin City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Forfar Athletic: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elgin City scores 1.42 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Forfar Athletic scores 1.42 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elgin City 58%, Forfar Athletic 53%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 56%, Forfar Athletic 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.13. Elgin City: 9.5 shots per match, Forfar Athletic: 7.7.
Match halves
Elgin City: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.86. Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Elgin City: 61-75 (11 goals). Forfar Athletic: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Elgin City displays solid home form with a 43% win rate and an impressive +2 goal difference at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.71 goals per match. The hosts have better offensive efficiency in home matches (conversion rate 19% vs 16% for the visitors) and a higher average xG (1.27 vs 1.07). Forfar Athletic has poor away results with only a 21% win rate and a high loss rate of 50%, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per away match. The recent form of both teams is balanced (Elgin 1.4 PPG vs Forfar 1.2 PPG), however, the home advantage of the hosts and Forfar's weakness away from home suggest a win for Elgin City. Considering the relatively balanced overall record of both teams in the league, there is also a real chance of a draw, hence a moderate probability of this outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forfar Athletic is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Elgin City · 2.6 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forfar Athletic is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.28 goals / match - Forfar Athletic
Elgin City scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
Forfar Athletic scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Elgin City
Over / Under — Forfar Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forfar Athletic is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.86 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 36%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elgin City
Forfar Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.94 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 22% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Elgin City 1 - 0 - 2 Forfar Athletic. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 2:0 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Forfar Athletic?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 1, Forfar Athletic won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?
Elgin City score 1.42 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.42. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Elgin City's matches and 53% of Forfar Athletic's.
What form are Elgin City and Forfar Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?
The statistical background for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.