Elgin City vs Stirling Albion: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely tight, which suggests a draw. Elgin City occupies 10th place in the table and has poor home form – in their last 5 home matches they haven't secured a single victory, conceding as many as 15 goals. Stirling Albion in 8th place shows better away performance with a 55% win rate in away matches this season; however, their recent form (0.8 PPG) is also unsatisfactory. A key factor is goal difference – both teams score an average of 1.73 goals per match, but Elgin concedes more at home (1.91) than Stirling does away (1.64). Considering the hosts' poor disposition and the visitors' average form, the most probable outcome appears to be a share of the points, although Stirling's slight advantage in away statistics makes them an equally realistic candidate for victory.
Elgin City vs Stirling Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Elgin City played against Stirling Albion in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Elgin City has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Stirling Albion has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Elgin City scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.77. Stirling Albion scores 1.30 and allows 1.74. Games in this league average 3.01 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Elgin City's games and 65% of Stirling Albion's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 61%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Elgin City has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.17 per game. Elgin City takes 10.0 shots per game, while Stirling Albion takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Elgin City leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 1.05 goals per game after halftime. Stirling Albion leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Elgin City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Stirling Albion, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 3.01 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely tight, which suggests a draw. Elgin City occupies 10th place in the table and has poor home form – in their last 5 home matches they haven't secured a single victory, conceding as many as 15 goals. Stirling Albion in 8th place shows better away performance with a 55% win rate in away matches this season; however, their recent form (0.8 PPG) is also unsatisfactory. A key factor is goal difference – both teams score an average of 1.73 goals per match, but Elgin concedes more at home (1.91) than Stirling does away (1.64). Considering the hosts' poor disposition and the visitors' average form, the most probable outcome appears to be a share of the points, although Stirling's slight advantage in away statistics makes them an equally realistic candidate for victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | Stirling Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stirling Albion is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Elgin City · 1.4 pts / game - Stirling Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Elgin City · 1.3 goals / game - Stirling Albion
Elgin City scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
Stirling Albion scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elgin City
Over / Under - Stirling Albion
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elgin City is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Elgin City · 0.91 pts / game - Stirling Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Stirling Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Elgin City
Stirling Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | Stirling Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.23 | 3.01 | • 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | • 68% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 19% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 79% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Elgin City's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Stirling Albion. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 1:0 Stirling Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Stirling Albion?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 1, Stirling Albion won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
Elgin City score 1.45 goals per game on average and Stirling Albion 1.30. The League Two average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Elgin City's matches and 65% of Stirling Albion's.
What form are Elgin City and Stirling Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Stirling Albion 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
The statistical background for Elgin City vs Stirling Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.