Ellas Syros vs Apollon Pontou: match statistics

Apollon Pontou have clearly been in better form over their last five matches: they have won 3 games, scored 12 goals and conceded only 2. Over the same period, Ellas Syros recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with just 5 goals scored and 3 conceded. The visitors are averaging 2.4 goals per game in this run, compared with just 1.0 for the hosts, while their defense is allowing opponents only 0.4 goals per match. Apollon’s points tally over the last five rounds stands at 2.0 per game, compared with 1.6 for Ellas Syros, further confirming the visitors’ superior current form. The lack of complete season-long data increases the risk of a draw, but the attacking efficiency and defensive solidity shown in recent matches point towards an away win.

The signal for BTTS - No is driven primarily by the teams’ last five matches: both teams scored in only 40% of Ellas Syros fixtures and just 20% of Apollonu Pontou matches. During this period, Ellas Syros conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match, while Apollon Pontou conceded just 0.4, clearly increasing the likelihood that one side will be kept out. The hosts averaged 1.0 goal scored, but their average xG was only 0.60, whereas Apollon, despite scoring 2.4 goals per match, generated a low 0.48 xG. With Ellas Syros conceding 3 goals and Apollon 2 in their last five appearances, the more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score.

Data from the last five matches points to solid defensive performances from both sides: Ellas Syros conceded 3 goals, while Apollon Pontou conceded just 2, averaging 0.6 and 0.4 goals conceded per game, respectively. The hosts averaged 1.0 goal scored during this period, compared with 2.4 for the visitors, so the larger share of the projected goal tally goes to Apollon Pontou. At the same time, Ellas Syros matches went Over 2.5 goals in only 20% of cases, while the Both Teams to Score rate stood at 40%, compared with just 20% for the visitors. Low average xG figures from the last five games—0.60 for the hosts and 0.48 for the visitors—do not support the prospect of a highly open match. With a projected total of 2.20 goals, Under 3.5 has the clearest edge, as four or more goals would require both teams to overcome their current defensive efficiency.

Full-season statistics are unavailable, so the assessment is based on the last five matches, in which Apollon Pontou averaged 2.4 goals compared with 1.0 for Ellas Syros. The visitors were extremely solid before the break, conceding no goals at all, while the hosts scored only 0.4 times per match in the first half. Half-time draws occurred in 60% of Ellas Syros matches and 50% of Apollon’s, clearly supporting a cautious opening scenario. After the break, Apollon averaged 0.75 goals and won the second half in 50% of their last matches, while Ellas Syros drew the second half in as many as 80% of cases. The visitors’ superior form, including a 60% win rate and just 0.4 goals conceded per match, points towards a half-time draw and an away win in the final result: X/2.