Emmen vs De Graafschap: match statistics
Emmen vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Emmen played against De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on April 24, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Emmen has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. De Graafschap has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Emmen scores 1.54 goals per game and allows 1.95. De Graafschap scores 2.00 and allows 1.54. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Emmen's games and 73% of De Graafschap's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 68%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
De Graafschap has the higher season xG average, 2.02 to 1.52 per game. Emmen takes 13.4 shots per game, while De Graafschap takes 17.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Emmen leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. De Graafschap leads at halftime in 49% and scores 1.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
Emmen's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For De Graafschap, it is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eerste Divisie games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
De Graafschap are the favorites — they sit 4th in the table versus Emmen’s 15th and have 18 wins this season compared to the home side’s 11. The visitors have scored 74 goals this season (1.89 per away match), while Emmen have 57 goals overall, although Emmen score slightly more at home: 1.94 goals per match versus the visitors’ 1.89 away. The favorite’s form is clearer — De Graafschap have netted 15 goals in their last 5 matches and average 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Emmen have only 7 goals and 1.0 point per game in that period (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Defensively the visitors concede 1.56 goals on average away compared to Emmen’s 1.67 conceded at home, but xG shows more expected chances against De Graafschap (xG against 1.87 vs 1.47 for Emmen), suggesting an open match with opportunities for both sides. Considering the table advantage, superior win record and significantly better recent form over the last five matches, I forecast a De Graafschap victory, although Emmen possess the home advantage (1.94 goals on average and 22% of home matches with a clean sheet), hence a moderate probability of an away triumph.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Emmen 74% and De Graafschap 72%, versus a league average of 62%, giving a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. In the last 5 matches both sides also have BTTS at 60%; during that period Emmen concedes on average 2.4 goals while De Graafschap scores 3.0 on average, further increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. Seasonal goal averages show Emmen scores 2.11 and concedes 1.53, and De Graafschap scores 1.89 and concedes 1.56 — a combined 4.0 goals per match versus the league average 3.21. xG confirms both directions: Emmen xG_for 2.27 against De Graafschap xG_against 1.87, and De Graafschap xG_for 1.76 against Emmen xG_against 1.62, suggesting realistic scoring chances for both teams. Additionally, low clean sheet expected percentages of 21% and 11% and a superiority in shots on target 8.26 to 6.06 support the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and season-data-driven model indicates a high probability of goals: Emmen has xG_for 2.27 and De Graafschap 1.76, with xG_against 1.62 (Emmen) and 1.87 (De Graafschap), yielding expected 2.07 goals for the home side and 1.69 for the visitors (total 3.76). Over the season Emmen finished 89% of matches over 1.5 goals, De Graafschap also 89%, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 is 68% (Emmen) and 67% (De Graafschap). In the last 5 fixtures Emmen averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, De Graafschap averaged 3.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, with both teams posting 80% Over 2.5 in that period. Additionally, both teams scored in 74% of Emmen’s matches and 72% of De Graafschap’s matches, and average shots on target are 8.26 (Emmen) and 6.06 (De Graafschap), reinforcing the goal likelihood. Based on this, the strongest signal is over 1.5 (season figures 89-89% and 3.76 expected goals), so I recommend backing the over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Emmen leading at the break and winning) because season-long metrics favor the home side: xG 2.27 vs 1.76, on average 20.37 shots vs 15.00 and 8.26 shots on target vs 6.06, and Emmen have led at the break in 53% of matches. The visitors, however, are in strong short-term form — De Graafschap average 3.0 goals in their last five matches and have won 60% of those, leading at the break in 80% of them (4 of 5). Nonetheless the home advantage is reinforced in the second half: Emmen score an average of 1.21 goals after the break and have collected 29 points in second halves vs De Graafschap’s 23, which supports maintaining or regaining a lead. Considering the higher xG and volume of chances plus a solid second-half record, the strongest signal is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Emmen | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
De Graafschap is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Emmen · 2.2 pts / game - De Graafschap
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
De Graafschap is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.54 goals / game - Emmen · 2 goals / game - De Graafschap
De Graafschap is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.95 goals / game - Emmen · 1.54 goals / game - De Graafschap
Emmen scores in 73% of games (27 of 37 meczów), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 meczów).
De Graafschap scores in 86% of games (32 of 37 meczów), while Emmen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Emmen
Over / Under - De Graafschap
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
De Graafschap is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Emmen · 1.78 pts / game - De Graafschap
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Emmen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
De Graafschap - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 49% of games and wins 49%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Emmen
De Graafschap
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Emmen | Liga | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.49 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Emmen's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against De Graafschap. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Emmen vs De Graafschap?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Emmen 1:0 De Graafschap. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Emmen score 1.54 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 2.00. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Emmen's matches and 73% of De Graafschap's.
What form are Emmen and De Graafschap in?
Over the last 5 games Emmen have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and De Graafschap 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Emmen vs De Graafschap: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.