Emmen vs MVV: match statistics
Emmen vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Emmen played against MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on April 6, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Emmen has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. MVV has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Emmen scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.88. MVV scores 1.18 and allows 2.03. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Emmen's games and 56% of MVV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 65%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Emmen has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.29 per game. Emmen takes 13.5 shots per game, while MVV takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Emmen leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. MVV leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Emmen's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For MVV, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eerste Divisie games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Emmen holds a clear edge in attack: at home they average 1.94 goals per match and have scored 53 goals this season, while MVV have 40 goals overall and only 0.82 goals away. Defensively the hosts concede 1.71 goals at home on average, whereas the visitors concede 2.12 on the road; this is corroborated by xG — Emmen have xG For 1.63 and xG Against 1.49, while MVV have xG For 1.24 and xG Against 2.14. Chance creation also favors Emmen: the hosts average 14.53 shots and 5.06 on target per home match with a conversion rate of 13%, compared to MVV’s 10.24 shots, 4.41 on target and 8% conversion away. Recent form narrows the home advantage — Emmen in the last 5 matches have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.4 points per game, while MVV have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.0 point. Considering Emmen’s superior efficiency, higher xG and positive goal differential (+4 at home versus MVV’s -22 away), I expect a home win, though the match has potential for multiple goals.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Emmen has a seasonal BTTS rate of 71% and scores 1.53 goals at home while conceding 1.94; MVV has a seasonal BTTS rate of 41% and away averages of 0.82 scored and 2.12 conceded per match. Both teams have only 12% clean sheets this season, and the league records 62% BTTS and an average of 3.21 goals per game, which favors Goal/Goal outcomes. Although MVV often fail to score this season (53% of matches without a goal), their last 5 matches show BTTS at 80% with averages of 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded, so recently they have been more prone to conceding. Emmen posts a higher home xG of 1.35 versus MVV’s 1.24 away and has better shot conversion 12% vs 8%, while MVV register more shots on target (4.41 vs 3.41), which together increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering seasonal 71% BTTS for Emmen vs 41% for MVV, the low 12% clean sheet rate and the league’s 62% BTTS, I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 65% and No Goal at 35%, therefore I recommend a Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams record Over 1.5 in 76% of their matches (Emmen 76%, MVV 76%), and the league averages 3.21 goals per game, which already indicates a high share of matches with at least two strikes. Emmen scores 1.53 and concedes 1.94 on average, MVV scores 0.82 and concedes 2.12; combined xG is 1.35 + 1.24 = 2.59, and after accounting for xG against (2.14 for MVV and 1.90 for Emmen) I estimate around 1.75 goals for the home side and 1.57 for the away side, i.e. ~3.32 goals total. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 — historical 76% plus expected 3.32 goals lead to an estimated probability of Over 1.5 at ~88%. I rate Over 2.5 moderately at 68%, since season Over2.5 is 71% for Emmen and 59% for MVV and the combined xG 2.59 is only slightly above the 2.5 threshold. I consider Over 3.5 less likely (≈42%), because although Emmen has Over3.5 in 53% of matches, MVV only 47% and the expected total 3.32 is below the 3.5 threshold; additionally the hosts average 12.59 shots and 3.41 on target with a 12% conversion, which supports at least a few home goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Emmen have the attacking edge at home: they score an average of 1.53 goals per home match versus 0.82 for MVV away, with home xG 1.35 compared to 1.24 for the visitors. At half-time Emmen led in 4 matches (24%), while MVV never led (0%), and hosts average 1.12 points by the break versus 0.47 for MVV, increasing the likelihood that the home side will lead or be level in the first half. After 90 minutes the hosts are favorites: Emmen win 35% of their home matches versus 18% of MVV’s away wins, with average goals conceded of 1.94 (Emmen) and 2.12 (MVV), so I expect an Emmen victory, although in 71% of Emmen’s home games both teams have scored, meaning the hosts can still concede. The strongest signal from these data is the scenario of leading at the break and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1), therefore I tip 1/1 as the main pick. Additionally, MVV’s low shot conversion (8%) versus Emmen’s 12% and the higher number of shots by the hosts (12.59 vs 10.24) support the expectation that Emmen will maintain their advantage to the end of the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Emmen | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
MVV is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Emmen · 1 pts / game - MVV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Emmen is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - Emmen · 1.18 goals / game - MVV
Emmen is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.88 goals / game - Emmen · 2.03 goals / game - MVV
Emmen scores in 74% of games (25 of 34 meczów), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 meczów).
MVV scores in 62% of games (21 of 34 meczów), while Emmen keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Emmen
Over / Under - MVV
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Emmen is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Emmen · 0.79 pts / game - MVV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Emmen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
MVV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Emmen
MVV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Emmen | Liga | MVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.44 | 3.21 | • 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 64% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Emmen's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against MVV. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Emmen vs MVV?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Emmen 2:1 MVV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Emmen vs MVV?
Emmen score 1.56 goals per game on average and MVV 1.18. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Emmen's matches and 56% of MVV's.
What form are Emmen and MVV in?
Over the last 5 games Emmen have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and MVV 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Emmen vs MVV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Emmen vs MVV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.