Empoli vs Palermo: match statistics
Empoli vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Empoli played against Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Stadio Carlo Castellani. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
Empoli has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Palermo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Empoli scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 1.20. Palermo scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Empoli's games and 80% of Palermo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 60%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palermo has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.08 per game. Empoli takes 10.2 shots per game, while Palermo takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Empoli leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Palermo leads at halftime in 60% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Empoli's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Palermo, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo come into this match as league leaders and are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 wins and a draw), while Empoli have won 2 and lost 3. Away from home, the visitors average 2 goals with an xG of 1.54, whereas Empoli score just 0.5 goals per home game with an xG of 0.97. Palermo also hit the target more often (4.5 shots on target compared with Empoli’s 3.5) and have scored in every away game so far. The hosts’ chances are bolstered by a defense that concedes an average of 0.5 goals at home, particularly as Palermo concede 1.5 goals per away game and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. However, the visitors’ advantage in form and chance creation points towards a Palermo win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 67% of Empoli’s matches and 100% of Palermo’s, supporting the case for both teams to score. Palermo averaged 2.8 goals across its last five matches, with an average xG of 1.67, giving it a strong chance of beating Empoli’s defense, which conceded 1.2 goals per game over that period. Palermo, meanwhile, conceded in every match, while Empoli averages 1.81 xG at home and records 6 shots on target per game. Some caution is warranted given Empoli’s recent scoring form: just 0.8 goals per game, with BTTS landing in 40% of its last five matches. Despite this, the stronger season-long indicators and Palermo’s defensive vulnerability make BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome, meaning both teams are expected to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Palermo have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.8 per game, while Empoli have conceded an average of 1.2 goals over the same period. The hosts have scored just 4 goals in their last 5 matches, but Palermo have conceded an average of 1.4 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet in any of their matches. At least 2 goals were scored in 100% of Palermo’s matches and 67% of Empoli’s, making Over 1.5 a stronger pick than Over 2.5, which landed in 50% and 67% of the teams’ matches, respectively. The projected total of 3.15 goals supports this selection, although Empoli’s weaker recent attacking output warrants caution with higher goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears to be the most likely outcome: Empoli have not conceded in the first half of any of their last five matches, and three of those games were level at the break. Palermo have also kept a clean sheet at half-time in four of their last five matches, although they were leading at the break on three occasions, so an early goal from them remains a genuine threat to this scenario. After the break, however, the form advantage points to the visitors: they have won four of their last five matches, compared with two for Empoli, while Palermo have averaged 1.6 goals in second halves, against 1.2 goals conceded by the hosts. Across their last five matches, Palermo have averaged 2.8 goals scored, compared with Empoli's 0.8, strengthening the case for an away win despite Empoli having won all three of their home matches included in the data. Therefore, a draw at half-time and a Palermo win at full-time is the strongest signal, although the hosts' good home results temper confidence in the prediction.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Empoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Palermo is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Empoli · 2.6 pts / game - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 150% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Empoli · 2 goals / game - Palermo
Palermo is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Empoli · 1 goals / game - Palermo
Empoli scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).
Palermo scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Empoli keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Empoli
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Empoli · 2.2 pts / game - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Empoli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Empoli
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Empoli | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.69 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 19% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 86% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Empoli's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Palermo. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Empoli vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Empoli 2:4 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Empoli and Palermo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Empoli won 0, Palermo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Empoli vs Palermo?
Empoli score 0.80 goals per game on average and Palermo 2.00. The Serie B average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Empoli's matches and 80% of Palermo's.
What form are Empoli and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Empoli have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Palermo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Empoli vs Palermo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.