Encarnación vs Guaireña: match statistics
Encarnación vs Guaireña: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Encarnación played against Guaireña in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The game was played on July 6, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Encarnación has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Guaireña has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Encarnación scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.58. Guaireña scores 1.17 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Encarnación's games and 42% of Guaireña's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 42%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Encarnación has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.39 per game. Encarnación takes 12.7 shots per game, while Guaireña takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Encarnación leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Guaireña leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Encarnación's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Guaireña, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Intermedia games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win ("2"): Guaireña are in markedly better form — in their last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per game, whereas Encarnación have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (0.2 points per game). The home side’s defense is a major concern: Encarnación concedes an average of 2.6 goals per home match and have shipped 10 goals in their last 5 games, while Guaireña concede 1.4 goals on the road and only 4 goals in their last 5. In terms of quality of chances the hosts have a slightly higher xG at home (xG 1.68) than the visitors away (xG 1.32) and register more shots (12.8 vs 10.6), but both teams have a similar conversion rate (11%). Additionally Encarnación are yet to win at home (Win% 0) and have a negative home goal differential of -6, whereas Guaireña have an away differential of -1 and a stronger form trend, giving the visitors greater stability. For these reasons I assess a 60% probability of a Guaireña win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a home upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and shot analysis indicates a moderately high scoring potential for both sides: xG for Encarnación is 1.44 and for Guaireña 1.32, translating to an estimated probability of scoring at least once of ~76% and 73% respectively. Combined xG of 2.76 is above the league average of 2.58, and shots on target are 4.71 (home) and 4.4 (away), signaling elevated offensive activity from both teams. Seasonal BTTS rates diverge: Encarnación has 29% of matches with both teams scoring this season, while Guaireña has 60%, but in the last 5 matches Encarnación’s BTTS is 60% and they concede an average of 2.0 goals per match (10 conceded in 5), whereas Guaireña’s BTTS is 40% and they concede 0.8 goals per match (4 in 5). Given the higher xG figures (1.44 and 1.32), solid shots on target, and the fact that Encarnación have been conceding heavily recently, BTTS - Yes is more likely — I estimate BTTS 'Yes' at 57% vs 'No' 43%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model forecasts 1.62 goals for Encarnación and 1.34 for Guaireña (total 2.96), calculated as the average of offensive xG 1.44 (home) and 1.32 (away) and xG conceded 1.8 and 1.35. Over 1.5 goals occurred in 71% of Encarnación’s matches and 80% of Guaireña’s matches, which together with the projected total of 2.96 goals provides a strong signal for Over 1.5. The 2.5 line is more balanced: season-long Over 2.5 is 43% for the home side and 40% for the away side, but the home team’s last 5 matches produced Over 2.5 in 60% of cases, hence a moderate edge for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is less likely, since season values of 29% (home) and 40% (away) and the 2.96 projection are below the 3.5 threshold, so Under 3.5 appears safer. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5, therefore I recommend a bet on the Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is the high proportion of draws at half-time: home teams were level at the break in 57% of matches, visitors in 60% (around 58% on average), so a HT draw is the most likely outcome. For the full-time result seasonal data favor the home side — they win 57% of matches versus 20% for the visitors, with seasonal points per game 1.86 for Encarnación vs 1.0 for Guaireña. Second-half statistics are crucial: the home team averages 0.86 goals scored and 0.43 conceded after the break (a +0.43 differential), while the away team scores 0.8 and concedes 1.0 (a −0.20 differential), giving Encarnación the advantage after half-time. xG and shot metrics confirm a moderate advantage for the hosts (xG 1.44 vs 1.32 and 11.86 shots vs 10.6), therefore I recommend as the best pick a Half-Time draw with a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Encarnación | Guaireña | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Guaireña is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Encarnación · 2 pts / game - Guaireña
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaireña is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Encarnación · 1.17 goals / game - Guaireña
Guaireña is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.58 goals / game - Encarnación · 1.25 goals / game - Guaireña
Encarnación scores in 58% of games (7 of 12 meczów), while Guaireña keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 meczów).
Guaireña scores in 58% of games (7 of 12 meczów), while Encarnación keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Encarnación
Over / Under - Guaireña
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Encarnación is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Encarnación · 1.08 pts / game - Guaireña
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Encarnación - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Guaireña - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Encarnación
Guaireña
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Encarnación | Liga | Guaireña | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.58 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Encarnación's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Guaireña. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Encarnación vs Guaireña?
The Division Intermedia match finished Encarnación 1:2 Guaireña. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Encarnación and Guaireña?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Encarnación won 1, Guaireña won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Encarnación vs Guaireña?
Encarnación score 1.00 goals per game on average and Guaireña 1.17. The Division Intermedia average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Encarnación's matches and 42% of Guaireña's.
What form are Encarnación and Guaireña in?
Over the last 5 games Encarnación have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Guaireña 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Encarnación vs Guaireña?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.