Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Energie Cottbus play MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Energie Cottbus: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Energie Cottbus scores 1.89 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Energie Cottbus 66%, MSV Duisburg 66%. Over 2.5: Energie Cottbus 68%, MSV Duisburg 63%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Energie Cottbus has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.52. Energie Cottbus: 13.9 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 12.4.

Match halves

Energie Cottbus: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.08. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.03.

Goals by minute

Energie Cottbus: 76-90+ (17 goals). MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
13Shots11
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
9Shots on target3
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
1.82xG1.31
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
4Corners3
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
50Dangerous attacks55
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
10Fouls11
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
2Cards3
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
1.89Goals scored / match1.74
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
1.34Goals conceded / match1.29
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
52%Average possession46%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
5.39Shots on target / match4.95
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.87Shots per match12.39
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
5.39Shots on target4.95
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
13.7%Shot conversion14%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
52%Possession46%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
1.68xG for1.52
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
1.44xG against1.38
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

Shooting quality

Energie Cottbus: Efficient finishingMSV Duisburg: Counter-attacking
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
Accuracy (shots on target)39%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Energie Cottbus is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Energie Cottbus · 1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg

Energie Cottbus
WWLWW
Season result split
55% W24% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-9-8
1.89 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-7-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
MSV Duisburg
WLWDD
Season result split
50% W29% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-11-8
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-6-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Energie Cottbus is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.89 goals / match - Energie Cottbus · 1.74 goals / match - MSV Duisburg

Energie Cottbus scoring profile: very strong

Energie Cottbus scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

MSV Duisburg scoring profile: very strong

MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Energie Cottbus keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

72Goals scored (season)66
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
51Goals conceded (season)49
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
3.24Average goals in match3.03
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
11Goals scored (last 5)7
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal79%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
58%2 goals53%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
34%3 goals29%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
8%4 goals13%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal71%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
37%2 goals26%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
18%3 goals16%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
5%4 goals8%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time18%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
8%BTTS in both halves8%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
42%Scored in both halves32%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
60%BTTS - last 580%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Energie Cottbus is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / match - Energie Cottbus · 1.39 pts / match - MSV Duisburg

Energie Cottbus - half-time state
42% leading37% draw21% trailing
MSV Duisburg - half-time state
32% leading45% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.39
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.34
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
58%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
42%No goal before half-time53%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.61Points per match (2nd half)1.55
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)1.03
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.66
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.68
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
47%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg
32%No goal after half-time37%
Energie CottbusMSV Duisburg

Energie Cottbus - second-half results

45% W26% R29% P
62
Half-time points
31
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
61
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MSV Duisburg - second-half results

34% W53% R13% P
53
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Energie Cottbus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
MSV Duisburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Energie Cottbus
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
10
8
16-30
12
8
31-45
9
7
46-60
15
10
61-75
17
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

MSV Duisburg
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
12
6
16-30
9
13
31-45
10
5
46-60
12
9
61-75
17
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Energie Cottbus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

MSV Duisburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

Energie CottbusLigaMSV Duisburg
Average goals in match 3.243.21 3.03
Both teams scored 66%64% 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%64% 63%
Clean sheets 26%21% 29%
Goal before half-time 74%77% 68%
Goal after half-time 87%83% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Energie Cottbus 0 - 0 - 1 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg?

The 3. Liga match finished Energie Cottbus 3:2 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg?

Energie Cottbus score 1.89 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.74. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Energie Cottbus's matches and 66% of MSV Duisburg's.

What form are Energie Cottbus and MSV Duisburg in?

Over the last 5 games Energie Cottbus have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg?

The statistical background for Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.