England vs Croatia: match statistics
England vs Croatia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
England play Croatia in World Cup (International). The match date is 17 June 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
England: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Croatia: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
England scores 2.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Croatia scores 1.50 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: England 75%, Croatia 75%. Over 2.5: England 75%, Croatia 75%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
England has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.17. England: 14.8 shots per match, Croatia: 9.3.
Match halves
England: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.38. Croatia: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
England: 31-45+ (6 goals). Croatia: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
England has more quality, but Croatia have long managed tournament matches well and can slow down the favorite. A draw suits a match where England hold territorial superiority while Croatia respond with experience and patience. Our probability distribution is England 46%, draw 27% and Croatia 27%. At odds of 3.85 the model sees EV of about +4.0%, therefore the pick only makes sense as a smaller, high-variance stake. The risk is England’s physicality in the penalty area and the possibility of the match being decided from a set-piece. Status: SMALL BET.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| England | Croatia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
England is 60% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - England · 1.5 pts / match - Croatia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
England is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - England · 1.5 goals / match - Croatia
England is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - England · 1.75 goals / match - Croatia
England scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Croatia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Croatia scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while England keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — England
Over / Under — Croatia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Croatia is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - England · 1.5 pts / match - Croatia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
England - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Croatia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
England
Croatia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| England | Liga | Croatia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: England 0 - 0 - 1 Croatia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of England vs Croatia?
The World Cup match finished England 4:2 Croatia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before England vs Croatia?
England score 2.50 goals per game on average and Croatia 1.50. The World Cup average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 75% of England's matches and 75% of Croatia's.
What form are England and Croatia in?
Over the last 5 games England have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Croatia 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for England vs Croatia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.