Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City: match statistics
Entebbe UPPC presents definitely better form, earning 2.2 points per match in the last five meetings, while Mbarara City achieves only 1.0 point. The hosts are undefeated in the last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and have not conceded any goals during this period, which proves their solid defense. Mbarara City has a disastrous away record – just 13% wins, 50% losses, and zero clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.38 goals per match. The goal difference (-10 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts in home/away matches) and the advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.26) further speak for Entebbe UPPC. Taking all statistics into account, especially the excellent recent form of the hosts and Mbarara's weakness on the road, I definitely favor a victory for Entebbe UPPC.
Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Entebbe UPPC played against Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on February 17, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Entebbe UPPC has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Mbarara City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Entebbe UPPC scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 0.56. Mbarara City scores 0.88 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Entebbe UPPC's games and 63% of Mbarara City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 31%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Entebbe UPPC has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.35 per game. Entebbe UPPC takes 4.4 shots per game, while Mbarara City takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Entebbe UPPC leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.19 goals per game after halftime. Mbarara City leads at halftime in 6% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Entebbe UPPC's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Mbarara City, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.19 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Entebbe UPPC presents definitely better form, earning 2.2 points per match in the last five meetings, while Mbarara City achieves only 1.0 point. The hosts are undefeated in the last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and have not conceded any goals during this period, which proves their solid defense. Mbarara City has a disastrous away record – just 13% wins, 50% losses, and zero clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.38 goals per match. The goal difference (-10 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts in home/away matches) and the advantage in xG (1.77 vs 1.26) further speak for Entebbe UPPC. Taking all statistics into account, especially the excellent recent form of the hosts and Mbarara's weakness on the road, I definitely favor a victory for Entebbe UPPC.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Entebbe UPPC | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 10% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.41 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Entebbe UPPC is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Entebbe UPPC · 1 pts / game - Mbarara City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Entebbe UPPC is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.06 goals / game - Entebbe UPPC · 0.88 goals / game - Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC is 179% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.56 goals / game - Entebbe UPPC · 1.56 goals / game - Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 games), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 games).
Mbarara City scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 games), while Entebbe UPPC keeps a clean sheet in 56% (9 of 16 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Entebbe UPPC
Over / Under - Mbarara City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Entebbe UPPC is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Entebbe UPPC · 0.81 pts / game - Mbarara City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Entebbe UPPC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Entebbe UPPC | Liga | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.63 | 2.19 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 42% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 39% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 37% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 19% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 13% | 59% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Entebbe UPPC's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Mbarara City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Entebbe UPPC 1:0 Mbarara City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City?
Entebbe UPPC score 1.06 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 0.88. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Entebbe UPPC's matches and 63% of Mbarara City's.
What form are Entebbe UPPC and Mbarara City in?
Over the last 5 games Entebbe UPPC have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Mbarara City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.