Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus: match statistics
Energie Cottbus are the clear favorites for this match, sitting in 1st place in the table compared to Erzgebirge Aue's 17th position. The visitors are in significantly better form with 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches compared to just 0.4 points for the hosts. Cottbus have a clear advantage in offensive efficiency (49 goals this season vs 27) and a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 10%). Erzgebirge Aue have not won any of their last 5 matches and have a 50% goal inefficiency rate at home, which further weakens their chances. Although Cottbus are playing away, their 45% win rate in away matches and solid form (2 wins, 3 draws in their last 5 games) give them a realistic chance of taking all three points. Considering all statistics, an away win is the most likely outcome, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Aue's home tenacity.
Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Erzgebirge Aue played against Energie Cottbus in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Erzgebirge Aue has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Energie Cottbus has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.58. Energie Cottbus scores 2.04 and allows 1.54. Games in this league average 3.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Erzgebirge Aue's games and 75% of Energie Cottbus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 75%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Energie Cottbus has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.48 per game. Erzgebirge Aue takes 12.3 shots per game, while Energie Cottbus takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Erzgebirge Aue leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Energie Cottbus leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Erzgebirge Aue's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Energie Cottbus, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.15 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Energie Cottbus are the clear favorites for this match, sitting in 1st place in the table compared to Erzgebirge Aue's 17th position. The visitors are in significantly better form with 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches compared to just 0.4 points for the hosts. Cottbus have a clear advantage in offensive efficiency (49 goals this season vs 27) and a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 10%). Erzgebirge Aue have not won any of their last 5 matches and have a 50% goal inefficiency rate at home, which further weakens their chances. Although Cottbus are playing away, their 45% win rate in away matches and solid form (2 wins, 3 draws in their last 5 games) give them a realistic chance of taking all three points. Considering all statistics, an away win is the most likely outcome, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Aue's home tenacity.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Erzgebirge Aue | Energie Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Energie Cottbus is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.8 pts / game - Energie Cottbus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Energie Cottbus is 81% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Erzgebirge Aue · 2.04 goals / game - Energie Cottbus
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while Energie Cottbus keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
Energie Cottbus scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
Over / Under - Energie Cottbus
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Energie Cottbus is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Erzgebirge Aue · 1.79 pts / game - Energie Cottbus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 21%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Energie Cottbus - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Erzgebirge Aue | Liga | Energie Cottbus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 3.15 | ▲ 3.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 22% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Erzgebirge Aue's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Energie Cottbus. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
The 3. Liga match finished Erzgebirge Aue 1:2 Energie Cottbus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
Erzgebirge Aue score 1.13 goals per game on average and Energie Cottbus 2.04. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Erzgebirge Aue's matches and 75% of Energie Cottbus's.
What form are Erzgebirge Aue and Energie Cottbus in?
Over the last 5 games Erzgebirge Aue have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Energie Cottbus 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.